NA Hard Season - General Discussion

[Moxie]

Yes. Should be easy to figure out even for you as Fed appears in the list and so it cannot be for Toronto.

But Cincinnati is coming up, and the thread is about the whole NA HC season. Don't be such a putz.

 

[The_Grand_Slam]

When will Cincinnati draw come out???

 

[isabelle]

When will Cincinnati draw come out???

draw party is scheduled on Aug 10th I guess draw wille be out tonight

 

[monfed]

So Nadull is a lock for YE#1 now?

 

[herios]

So Nadull is a lock for YE#1 now?

He is not.

 

[Moxie]

I guess nobody will be complaining about Rafa's easy draw in Cincy.

 

[monfed]

I guess nobody will be complaining about Rafa's easy draw in Cincy.

And it will once again show that dull will lose.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

So Nadull is a lock for YE#1 now?

He may not be a lock for YE #1, but he is leading the race and is head by approximately 1850 points over the second player in line.


Ralph has qualified for the WTF and is the first player to do so and is the only player to do so at this time.

For all practical purposes, Ralph will clinch YE #1 with his relentless play and gradual accruing of points. The only person I think who can probably spoil his plans are Novak. But, to do that Novak should win USO and go on a tear in the indoor season. Even though Roger is ahead of Novak, I doubt whether he can stop Ralph even if he wins USO due to his limited playing schedule.

 

[Riotbeard]

Tsitsipas actually has gotten a pretty good section of the draw in Cincinatti...

 

[GameSetAndMath]

After the week of Toronto which saw Ralph lift another trophy and the young Greek creating a record by causing 4 top 10 upsets, it is time to take another look at odds of winning USO. Everyone with a puncher's chance (1% or better) is listed below. But, there are only four contenders (10% or more chance).

1. Novak 3 (25%)
2. Ralph 4 (20%)
3. Federer 17/4 (19%)
4. Sasha 9 (10%)
5. JMDP 12 (7.7%)
6. Murray 16 (5.8%)
7. Cilic 20 (4.8%)
8. Nick 25 (3.8%)
9. Special K 35 (2.7%)
10. Milos / Anderson 40 (2.4%)
12. Grigor / Thiem 50 (2%)
14. Tsitsipas / Isner / Shapo 66 (1.5%)
17. Chung / Goffin / Coric 100 (1%)

Important changes / observations:

a. Ralph moves ahead of Fed due to his win and withdrawal.
b. Sasha breaks out of tie with JMDP and moves ahead due to injury concerns of JMDP.
c. Cilic's odds improved slightly due to his good performance in match against Ralph.
d. Stan is out.
e. Tsitsipas is in.

Next update after Cincy finishes.

 

[Moxie]

After the week of Toronto which saw Ralph lift another trophy and the young Greek creating a record by causing 4 top 10 upsets, it is time to take another look at odds of winning USO. Everyone with a puncher's chance (1% or better) is listed below. But, there are only four contenders (10% or more chance).

1. Novak 3 (25%)
2. Ralph 4 (20%)
3. Federer 17/4 (19%)
4. Sasha 9 (10%)
5. JMDP 12 (7.7%)
6. Murray 16 (5.8%)
7. Cilic 20 (4.8%)
8. Nick 25 (3.8%)
9. Special K 35 (2.7%)
10. Milos / Anderson 40 (2.4%)
12. Grigor / Thiem 50 (2%)
14. Tsitsipas / Isner / Shapo 66 (1.5%)
17. Chung / Goffin / Coric 100 (1%)

Important changes / observations:

a. Ralph moves ahead of Fed due to his win and withdrawal.
b. Sasha breaks out of tie with JMDP and moves ahead due to injury concerns of JMDP.
c. Cilic's odds improved slightly due to his good performance in match against Ralph.
d. Stan is out.
e. Tsitsipas is in.

Next update after Cincy finishes.

I think it's a bit short-term memory that they rate Djokovic over Nadal, but I'm not taking that personally. Also a bit odd to rate Kyrgios over Anderson, given his recent (ongoing) injuries, and the fact that Anderson was finalist in W, and at USO last year. Also seems odd to drop Wawrinka, if you're going to stick Chung and Coric in there, but they're right to give odds to Stefanos.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

Wildcards for USO announced. Stan Wawrinka got one. Three American got one each. The remaining four are not really discretionary ones. One goes to French guy and one goes to Aussie due to reciprocal agreements. One is given to wild card play off winner. One is given to Boys 18 champ.

 

[herios]

Following Isner's early loss and Domi's withdrawal, Novak will be able to get into the top 8 before the US Open. Not sure how much this will help him, considering his patchy form.

 

[Moxie]

Following Isner's early loss and Domi's withdrawal, Novak will be able to get into the top 8 before the US Open. Not sure how much this will help him, considering his patchy form.

It's gotta help. Fewer pitfalls in early rounds, right?

 

[herios]

It's gotta help. Fewer pitfalls in early rounds, right?

Hopefully yes, fingers crossed.

 

[isabelle]

Wildcards for USO announced. Stan Wawrinka got one. Three American got one each. The remaining four are not really discretionary ones. One goes to French guy and one goes to Aussie due to reciprocal agreements. One is given to wild card play off winner. One is given to Boys 18 champ.

WC for Moutet, a young french player

 

[Moxie]

USOpen draw comes out on Friday.

 

[isabelle]

USOpen draw comes out on Friday.

cant' wait to see Nole's draw

 

[Moxie]

cant' wait to see Nole's draw

Me, too...on the bottom half.

 

[The_Grand_Slam]

Me, too...on the bottom half.