Denisovich said:
El Dude said:
herios, I like David Ferrer. But he IS beatable and it is hard seeing him beat any of the "Big Four" in a Final, except for perhaps Andy Murray and a declined Federer. But he's clearly the "best of the rest" and, one could argue, now the 4th best player in the world, at least if and when Roger starts playing better. But I would love to see Ferrer win a Slam - what a great thing for tennis and, I think, would mark the end of the FedalDjokurray Hegemony.
That will not happen. Ferrer will be in a wheelchair the day Murray and Djokovic start losing a step. He is 5 years older. He will have to depend on upsets to win one. A lot of upsets. Granted if that happens, he is likely to win it.
I agree with the gist of this but don't be surprised if Andy and Novak start losing a step as soon as next year when they'll be turning 27, a very common age for players to lose half a step (see "Federer, Roger" and seemingly "Nadal, Rafael").
I'm not saying that Ferrer would be the new player to beat, mind you, just that at some point there's going to be a crack in the "Hegemony" and we'll likely look back on it as a Slam won by someone else. While obviously Djokovic and Murray are the clear favorites, perhaps this tournament isn't done with surprises yet. But while I could see Ferrer beating Andy, if and only if Andy had a head-case match, I just can't see him beating Djokovic under almost any circumstances. So yeah, it would require some upsets.