MM.. I posted about this last week. He needs to play Montreal and go far in the event just like he did this past week. Last week was a total success. Everything worked out well although its too much extended time on the court. However, Extended time on the court gives you the ability to problem solve while suffering with body fatigue and mental anguish. This is what was needed to be successful in NYC ( e.g. 2022 Australian Open comebacks especially vs Meddy in the final). When all things holds true ( holding true means Rafa is holding serve and hitting his spots or isnt jaded like he was Sunday or Novak was in the SW19 final) Rafa knows if he can make the match a chess match on the court, he has no peers but NOVAK's ability to PROBLEMSOLVE. Yes Carlitos and SInner are much tougher players than they were two years ago but Novak's and Rafa's has the ability to take it to another level. Its hard to explain but 20 years of breaking down opponents does not occur by happenstance. Yes Carlitos destroy Novak at SW19 but that was not Novak at his peak. IMO
Well Novak is the defending champion at USO this year, going on his current form, forget about the knee surgery, his form this year has been poor and to date has not won a title so far this year, it was his decision to play Wimbledon? he got a favorable draw, his walkover to the SF probably saved his knee in ways, Andy Roddick said the same thing and got a easy SF, before he was shown the door in 3 sets by Alcaraz? also keep in mind the USO is Novaks worst slam?. I know one of his priority this year was to win a Gold Medal at Roland Garros, can you honestly see him winning gold at the Olympics?
Gone are the days Rafa can work himself into tournaments, we are on the same page that he needs to play warm up tournament before the USO, if he plays?
Alcaraz and Sinner in my opinion are the strong favs going into the USO this year both like fast HC, especially Sinner who I hope can stay healthy, sad to see him at Wimbledon, a court surface with his flat hitting that suits his game, and sickness got the better of him in his match against Meddy
The warm up tournaments before the USO maybe a factor, going from clay to hard court will be a factor for some players
Again the draw at USO will be telling, Novak and Alcaraz got favorable draws at Wimbledon, will they both get favorable draws at USO?