I never said it was a given. But Djokovic clearly would've been the favorite.
And I do think that Nadal has been lucky on a number of occasions in winning Roland Garros (most notably 2007, 2011, 2013, 2014, and 2019). Federer failing to convert on 18 breakpoints in the 2007 final was a preview of what happened at Wimbledon the following year. Nadal was also lucky to avoid Djokovic last year. Thiem gave him a nice assist.
As to 2011, a thing that gets lost in the bluster of Djokovic having won 4 finals in a row v Nadal, including 2 on clay, at that moment, was that: for Djokovic to have made that final, he'd have had to come back on Saturday to finish that match v. Roger. One set to decide it, and all of their sets were tight on the Friday. With a bit of rest, and given that there is no 5th set TB at RG, they would almost surely have played for an hour +, and even possibly 2 hours, before the eventual winner would have met Nadal on the Sunday. That's no way to prepare for a final with Nadal at RG. To say that Djokovic would have "clearly" been the favorite is BS. It would have been his first RG final, and he'd have been hampered. Given how poorly he performed in what was his eventual first final at RG, it's hard to argue that he'd have surely been the winner, had they met in 2011.
Ah, and all of those other years when Rafa got "lucky":
2007: As per usual, you think a well-played set should have changed the course of the match. Likewise, 2011, though 2011 Roger was much closer.
2013: Rafa out-played Novak for the majority of that match. Novak was lucky to get it to a 5th. Then he ran out of gas and ideas.
2014: He beat Novak in 4...I don't understand your notion that he got "lucky" here.
2019: You're pretending that Djokovic "would" have won, had Thiem not beaten Djokovic in the semis. I won't say that Djokovic wouldn't have been a more formidable opponent, but you're ignoring the fact, again, that Djokovic would have been the guy that played a hard day on Sat. v Thiem, just to get the final. You seem to forget that for all the times they've played at RG, Nole has only beaten Rafa when he was in his worst year, overall.
And yes, Roger didn't convert 18 BPs, in the same way that he failed to convert 13 (or whatever) BPs v. Nadal at Wimbledon. 2008. But this is part of tennis. And Rafa has a great record of saving BPs, as well as a great break-back rate. Not all opportunities are merely squandered. Sometimes the other guy saves himself, and lives on to win the day. But to pretend that a guy who has won RG 12 times is "lucky" is rather delusional.