Moxie629 said:
GameSetAndMath said:
Kieran said:
GameSetAndMath said:
IW is beginning tomorrow. No pundits have indulged in bracketology.
Are Peter Bodo, Steve Tignor, Kamakshi Tandon, Greg Garber etc have been laid off?
or are they hibernating in the extended winter?
Don't know about the others, but Tignor seems to have
hopped on a bandwagon, which is surprising...
I agree with Tignors pick by and large.
But, I think third quarter will be won by the winner of the match between
Gulbis and Dimitrov, if that match materializes and if not, by Berdych.
Personally, I thought Tignor worked a little hard to undersell Rafa. First, he said there's no 'clear favorite.' Perhaps not, but Rafa is considered the favorite…defending champ, holder of two titles this year, and #1, after all. He mentions 'potentially significant wins' by Federer and Dimitrov in 500s at the end of Feb., but not Rafa's win at one. (OK, it was on clay.) The back could still be a question mark, but he mentions the potential of a psychological hangover from the loss in Oz. I don't mind that he tapped Roger for the final, but I think that was a cheap out of defending his choice of Federer over Nadal, which he didn't do. A bit too much of a back-bend over an obvious question, IMO. But I know I'm a partizan.
Yes, indeed Rafa won Rio a 500 event. However, the reason that it did not get the
mention is not so much due to it being on clay, but because it was by no means an
emphatic win by Rafa. That tournament only raised more questions about Rafa than
providing answers despite the fact that Rafa won it.
Fed and Rafa have played exactly at two times in IW and both in the recent
past. Both were straight setters. In 2012, Fed straight setted Rafa and in 2013,
Rafa straight settled Fed. Now, it is Fed's turn, so to speak. Before, people
jump on me, I do realize that matches do not get decided by statistical
patterns, but over the course of an year, the back ache seems to have
moved from Fed's back to Rafa's back. So, Fed is favorite this time.
I do regret watching that match between Rog and Rafa in last year's IW,
not just becuase Rog lost. It was a no-contest match. Roger later gave the
"excuse" of back-ache (not for losing, but for not fighting). I don't remember
what excuse Rafa had for his 2012 loss (may be StantheMan can inform me).