HawkEye said:
fashionista said:
HawkEye said:
fashionista said:
According to my maths,someone can correct me if I am wrong here.
Neither Simona or Petra can catch Serena,if she loses early in Beijing and YEC.The only person that can finish as No 1,other than Serena is Maria who has no points to defend,but she has to win Beijing and YEC,Serena has to lose early in both for that to happen.
If Serena wins Beijing,she will clinch year No 1 immediately.
I think you are wrong. Serena has 2000 points more then Petra. If Serena loses early in both then Petra can surpass her. She can have 1000 points for Beijing and 1500 points for YEC. Apart from that Petra is scheduled to play Moscow which is another 470 points. She can gain almost 3000 points. Even if you won't count her 100 points for Eastboune and 105 points for Montreal it's still 2765 points.
That's of course theory. Serena will not loose everything and Petra will not win everything.
Hmm I will redo my maths...your talking theory...regarding the no 1 spot for the year
I still maintain that if Serena wins Beijing she will clinch the no 1 position for the year.
I will get back to you,it is too late for me to re do maths at the moment
Yes that's correct. If Serena wins Beijing she will gain at least another 350 point to Masha and would lead by 1602 points. That is unsurmountable in YEC. Masha would have to receive a WC in another tourney to be able to beat her.
I went on the current ranking points Serena has 9430 and Petra has 5926.Serena has 3504 more points than Petra.If your remove their Beijing points (1000) for Serena and (450) for Petra,Serena has 2954 more points than Petra.If Petra wins Beijing,she cant have 1000 points cause she is defending 450 points,so she can only gain 550 points.If Petra wins YEC,she cant have 1500 points,she is defending 530 points,so if she wins without dropping a match,she gets 970 points.If Serena loses all her round robin matches at the YEC,she still gets 210 points for playing (70 points per match),so hypothetically,she will end the year with 7140 points.
Petra has to win Bejing and YEC without dropping a match to get to No 1.If she wants a cushion for any match dropped in YEC,than she has to win Moscow to get to No 1.If Petra wins Moscow,she will drop points from other Premier level tournaments she played this year,so even the maths that I have done here wont be correct.This is unlikely to happen,but hypothetically,she can clinch No 1.Also I havent taken into account of points that will drop off Petra's ranking total because she has played 17 tournaments so far this year and if you add Beijing,Moscow and YEC this is 20 tournaments,only 16 will count.
Serena all her tournaments this year will count except Wuhan.She got 0 points for IW.Serena has played 14 tournaments so far so will finish with 16,play IW 17,Only Wuhan wont count.The remaining 16 will.
Serena will clinch the No 1 if she wins Beijing and that isnt a hypothetical fact at all.Your post was made on a lot of hypothetical assumptions regarding Petra.I have outlined the possibilities,though in reality I really cant see Petra based on what she has to achieve to get the No 1 position for this year.