Roger vs Rafa will be more interesting than most are giving it credit if Roger keeps up this level. I do think it will be close like their Cinci match (Rafa just can't get in every service game of his on this surface), but Federer needs to win the first set. I don't see him being able to physically hang in there if it's a tight, long match.
I'm interested in seeing how well Rafa serves. The one thing about their match-up that not many mention is that on all surfaces, Federer almost always gets inside Nadal's service games and rarely allows him an easy hold, but he just very rarely converts when it comes to break points. In Cinci, that wasn't the case, as Nadal was serving phenomenally well, and he held his serve pretty comfortably throughout. If that's the case again, I think Nadal wins.
