1972Murat said:
Cali, I want you to write here the formula...how Roger should play Rafa to beat him every single time. And please allow me to pick it apart. Go.
Lovely. It's nice to see that you're actually willing to have a debate and have your views challenged by someone who gets on your nerves.
There are a number of items on the list:
1) The BH return: I know that Nadal does a good job of mixing up his serve placement and making Federer guess, particularly on crucial points. However, the fact of the matter is, Nadal most of the time serves to the Federer backhand and this is no secret to either player. A couple rules for Federer to follow are:
a) stop slicing unless you have to because it is that wide. The few times that the slice works are poisonous to Federer because he thinks he can go back to it. Get away from the slice.
b) generally return to the Nadal BH if you can, but most importantly hit with depth.
c) try to run around the BH more and punish weaker serves.
Overall, there is no excuse for the inconsistency Federer displays with the backhand return. It is simply a matter of reflex and neurological programming. A 45-year-old can improve his skills. At 32 and with world-class athleticism, Federer certainly can too. Moreover, Federer doesn't need to "improve" his skills so much as sharpen them just a tad. This is a matter of repetition.
2) Keep up the good serving. Today he did that very well.
3) Get away from over-using the CC forehand. This is probably the most important item on the list, even more so than the BH return. On hardcourts, Federer wastes a number of opportunities for easy winners by hitting behind Nadal (because Nadal always gets to those balls), and on clay he simply dooms his chances by doing this nonsense. Hitting the CC forehand as much as he does against Nadal makes it downright impossible for him to beat Nadal on clay. Just impossible.
Now, the DTL forehand and the inside-out from the middle of the court work splendidly whenever Federer does it. The problem is he doesn't do it nearly enough. It is NOT low-percentage the way BS asserts; saying it is low-percentage is indeed BS. What is low-percentage is continuing the "mix it up" nonsense.
4) On short balls, go for winners every time. Yes, you will lose some with unforced errors, but so be it. On balance, if you commit to assertively and authoritatively going for winners off of all short balls, you will succeed far more than you fail if you're Federer (because Federer has terrific shotmaking capabilities), and you will set a tone for how the match is going to be played that Nadal simply has to live with. You keep the match on Roger Federer terms and off of Rafael Nadal terms.
Those 4 items are key....others I can probably think of.