Another angle on comparing tennis greats (with a pretty chart)

Moxie

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I think I've talked about Bond films here in the past! My Step-dad was big on "Goldginfinger" & "Dr. No" while I thought the breakout hit early on was how cool & colorful "You only Live Twice" & "Thunderball" were at the time when I was a kid! Bond zipping in on that underwater fight w/ his propelled airtanks was very dramatic in "Thunderball!" The music in the theatre just had your heart pounding! I had so little respect for Goldfinger as a villain as it was all about him; even going as far as to cheat at cards! A true psycho madman! :face-with-head-bandage: :astonished-face: :fearful-face: :yawningface: :angry-face:
 

El Dude

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That's a false equivalence. I can't even figure out where to go with it. If we all think that Sean Connery is the best Bond, how does it translate that Goldfinger is better than Thunderball (which it is,) in terms of the tennis? I'm all ears.

You also don't say, in the same way, that a player is lesser in year X than in year Y. Not in the same way. You give lots of credit to Federer's great years, and to Novak's. You have given Novak a bit of a pass for his walkabouts. Rafa, you credit only for on and off years. Is that completely fair?

What you don't get about your analysis of Rafa, in comparison to the others, is that you find a way to make it less. It's in the wording. In the organizing of the your statistics. I'm sorry to point this out again, but you made an entire post about who would end up with the most Majors...when Rafa had the most, at that time. You came up with about 4 options for Novak, but none for Rafa, which I pointed out to you. You did have to do a spit-take on that one. You like to think that you have no prejudices, but you do.

I like your take on tennis, and I love you as a friend. But when I tell you that you don't completely "get" Nadal, and that you have a certain prejudice when judging him, that comes from an honest place. Look at your resistance to Alcaraz. I get it, and you've as much as said it. Old scars.
I think most of this is projection: that is, projecting your defensiveness about Rafa into a mis-perceived attack. I have spoken time and time again of Rafa's greatness, defended him against "haters," and called him one of the three or four true GOATs (adding Laver into the mix). I've disagreed with takes like Jeff Sachmann, who ranked Bill Tilden ahead of him. I've also said that while I give Novak the overall edge of the Big Three, I don't feel comfortable putting Roger or Rafa ahead of each other, and ultimately see them as basically equals.

And yes, you are misunderstanding me, as evidenced by your inability to not grok the Bond analogy. I am saying Rafa was better in 2017-2019 than he was in 2020-22. That is all. I said nothing about how great 2020-22 were relative to anything other than 2017-19, but you somehow think I'm diminishing 2020-22 relative to...Roger? (Federer, that is, not Moore). Novak? Other greats? Who? I didn't even mention anyone with regards to those Rafa spans. I feel like I'm banging my head against the wall of your insistence on making this a Fedalkovic Wars thing, when all I was talking about how good Rafa was relative to himself! (and his own career).

But let me use a Roger analogy to illustrate. I think Roger was better in 2004-07 than he was in 2008-12, and better in 2008-12 than he was in 2013-16, and better in 2017 than he was in 2018-19. Am I denigrating Roger by saying that? Similarly, if I say Rafa was at his best in 2008-13, does that mean I'm saying he wasn't also great in 2017-22? Of course not! I'm just comparing two spans of time within his career - not relative to anyone else.

I'm not sure I can make it any clearer.

As for the rest...well, again, you're being overly defensive, and about stuff from years past. I have no interest in re-litigating old and largely forgotten conversations, if only because, well, I can't remember the specifics, and perhaps more importantly, they occurred in a different context. But to take one element, Rafa has utterly surprised me--and just about everyone--in his longevity. If that's me misunderstanding Rafa, well, I think just about everyone shared that at various points.

As for the stats I use, I can't believe I have to say this, but they are not made as an attempt to make Roger look better or to diminish Rafa. I make a formula that I apply to all players in exactly the same way, and see what the results are. I don't think, "How can I come up with a formula that makes Roger look better than Rafa?" I come up with formulas that I think express different aspects of tennis greatness and then see what the results are.

And Alcaraz?! I don't even know what to do with that. How is he relevant at all? And what is my take on Alcaraz that you think has to do with old wounds? How do you even think I feel about him? Again, why do you relate everything to Rafa? Must all roads lead back to Rafa?

So your "honest place" may be honest in that it is how you see things, but I think you're missing the elephant in the room: your endless defensiveness about Rafa that colors your perceptions of what just about anyone--except for fellow Nadalites--says about him. I'm reminded of that Abraham Maslow saying: If the only tool you have in your toolbox is a hammer, then everything looks like a nail. When it comes to Rafael Nadal, I think you only have a "shield," so everything looks like an attack.
 

Moxie

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NONE! SO what? It's blather like the rest of you guys out here!
There's been an entire conversation about Bond movies on the Movie thread. I'm sorry you missed it.
 

El Dude

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As for Bond...I actually have a special place in my heart for Roger Moore, as he was the active Bond when I started watching the films. I recognize that Connery is "Bond classic," but find Moore just as entertaining, if in a different way. I also love Daniel Craig, so can't say I like one of those three above the others. My least favorite Bond was Pierce Brosnan - too vanilla.
 

Moxie

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As for Bond...I actually have a special place in my heart for Roger Moore, as he was the active Bond when I started watching the films. I recognize that Connery is "Bond classic," but find Moore just as entertaining, if in a different way. I also love Daniel Craig, so can't say I like one of those three above the others. My least favorite Bond was Pierce Brosnan - too vanilla.
OMG, this is almost as endless as the Fedalovic Wars! If you meant to make a point about the Bond films, you absolutely could have made it clearer. I still think it's obtuse. This is where you willfully or unconsciously make these "points," but leave open room for interpretation. And then complain that they're misinterpreted.

I'd take the Bond film arguments back to the film thread. Roger Moore was smooth, but too smirky for my taste. I think he risked killing the franchise in the feminist era. Some of his were pretty fun, though.
 

El Dude

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Fiero425

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As for Bond...I actually have a special place in my heart for Roger Moore, as he was the active Bond when I started watching the films. I recognize that Connery is "Bond classic," but find Moore just as entertaining, if in a different way. I also love Daniel Craig, so can't say I like one of those three above the others. My least favorite Bond was Pierce Brosnan - too vanilla.

Y'all just blew off the more short-lived! Poor George Lazenby just talked himself right out of the part after securing it "On Her Majesty's Secret Service!" Some idiot actually told him to go in and be difficult & demanding IIRC! Being a newbie he didn't know any better! I wonder is he still married to Pam Shriver? The other fit the bill very well, but he never caught on; Timothy Dalton! He filled in when Pierce wasn't available due to "Remington Steele!" I didn't mind Dalton in the least, but his 2 outings were more comedic in the end w/ D'Abo & Lowell the respective love interests! :face-with-head-bandage: :face-with-hand-over-mouth: :astonished-face: :fearful-face: :yawningface:
 

Moxie

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Y'all just blew off the more short-lived! Poor George Lazenby just talked himself right out of the part after securing it "On Her Majesty's Secret Service!" Some idiot actually told him to go in and be difficult & demanding IIRC! Being a newbie he didn't know any better! I wonder is he still married to Pam Shriver? The other fit the bill very well, but he never caught on; Timothy Dalton! He filled in when Pierce wasn't available due to "Remington Steele!" I didn't mind Dalton in the least, but his 2 outings were more comedic in the end w/ D'Abo & Lowell the respective love interests!
Oh, Lazenby has been discussed. (And no, he and Shriver are long-divorced.) You can join the Bond conversation here:


If you think the Timothy Dalton Bond was "comedic," I think you need to revisit them. Or else I do. I think he was one of the darker, broodier ones. I liked him, btw.
 
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Fiero425

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Oh, Lazenby has been discussed. (And no, he and Shriver are long-divorced.) You can join the Bond conversation here:


If you think the Timothy Dalton Bond was "comedic," I think you need to revisit them. Or else I do. I think he was one of the darker, broodier ones. I liked him, btw.
I mean not "funny" comendic, but the stories & scenarios! I just didn't care for D'Abo & how she was utilized in "The Living Daylights!" Wayne Newton was a joke as well in "License To Kill!" Thinking of one of the worst Bond movies, we have to go to "The World Is Not Enough!" It was so bad it skipped Cable/Streaming and went right to the Network; IIRC it was CBS! It was there that we posted about Bond, page #81 Movie Reel!:face-with-head-bandage: :face-with-hand-over-mouth:
 
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El Dude

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Y'all just blew off the more short-lived! Poor George Lazenby just talked himself right out of the part after securing it "On Her Majesty's Secret Service!" Some idiot actually told him to go in and be difficult & demanding IIRC! Being a newbie he didn't know any better! I wonder is he still married to Pam Shriver? The other fit the bill very well, but he never caught on; Timothy Dalton! He filled in when Pierce wasn't available due to "Remington Steele!" I didn't mind Dalton in the least, but his 2 outings were more comedic in the end w/ D'Abo & Lowell the respective love interests! :face-with-head-bandage: :face-with-hand-over-mouth: :astonished-face: :fearful-face: :yawningface:

I'd probably rank Lazenby last, if only because he only did one film, and also because I'm not sure about an Aussie being Bond. He also didn't quite feel as "Bond-esque" to me. I'd rank Dalton ahead of Brosnan, but behind my "Big Three" iconic Bonds.
 
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Front242

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As for Bond...I actually have a special place in my heart for Roger Moore, as he was the active Bond when I started watching the films. I recognize that Connery is "Bond classic," but find Moore just as entertaining, if in a different way. I also love Daniel Craig, so can't say I like one of those three above the others. My least favorite Bond was Pierce Brosnan - too vanilla.
Likewise. Roger Moore was the sleeziest Bond by far imo. Hence the term got rogered lol.
 
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PhiEaglesfan712

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Both Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have 14 career titles.

Puts into perspective how impressive Rafa winning 11 titles at age 18/19 in 2005.
 
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Fiero425

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Both Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have 14 career titles.

Puts into perspective how impressive Rafa winning 11 titles at age 18/19 in 2005.

Sinner & Alcaraz are a lot more impressive than the early days of Rafa! I'm not saying that b/c I'm no fan, but the record shows it w/ both getting to #1 & winning majors outside of one surface! Carlos' talent is off the charts, but it's also inflated his head trying to make the "highlite reel" every match he plays! I've said early & often he needs to pull back! His body's already having trouble holding up! Let's hope both Carlos & Jannik warrant all the talk we're giving them! I'd hate to have one or both drop off the side of a cliff due to injury or en nui! :face-with-head-bandage: :face-with-hand-over-mouth: :astonished-face: :fearful-face: :yawningface:
 

Moxie

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Sinner & Alcaraz are a lot more impressive than the early days of Rafa! I'm not saying that b/c I'm no fan, but the record shows it w/ both getting to #1 & winning majors outside of one surface! Carlos' talent is off the charts, but it's also inflated his head trying to make the "highlite reel" every match he plays! I've said early & often he needs to pull back! His body's already having trouble holding up! Let's hope both Carlos & Jannik warrant all the talk we're giving them! I'd hate to have one or both drop off the side of a cliff due to injury or en nui! :face-with-head-bandage: :face-with-hand-over-mouth: :astonished-face: :fearful-face: :yawningface:
No, you ARE saying that because you are not a fan. He won 2x MS1000s on hards that year, one outdoor, one indoor, and another indoor HC title. He also had a prime and seasoned Federer to contend with in terms of #1. Different times.

I don't really begrudge Alcaraz loving to show off his tools, of which he has many. He'll get smarter and more judicious. Hopefully he and Jannik both stay healthy, but I don't see "ennui" being a problem for either.
 
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El Dude

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Rafa was the greatest Super Teenager tennis player of all time...El Dude @El Dude do you have the data to support this hypothesis :)
I had a chart at one point but couldn't find it. But on a quick review, I think you have to give that title to Borg or Becker, with Rafa third, Wilander fourth, then Alcaraz rounding out the top five.

First of all, start with Slam titles. Eight players have won GS titles as teenagers: two each by Borg, Becker, and Wilander, one each by Nadal, Alcaraz, Edberg, Sampras, and Chang.

But here's where it gets a bit tricky: Rafa won his second 8 days after turning 20 in a tournament (the 2006 French Open on June 11) that started when he was 19. So if you count his age as when the tournament started, he gets two Slams. But...is that fair to Borg, who won his third Slam a few weeks after turning 20? (1976 Wimbledon).

So we should probably keep it strict, which means Rafa has the one, and two vs. one is significant.

After Slam titles, you have Masters. Rafa won six, Becker and Alcaraz 4 each (or their equivalents), Borg 3 plus the WCT Finals which is equivalent, so 4; Wilander won 2; and the others 0 or 1. For overall big titles, that 7 for Rafa, 7 for Borg and Becker, 5 for Alcaraz, 4 for Wilander. So I think that makes it more of a three-way race with Rafa, Becker, and Borg.

Looking at lower titles and overall deep results and you still have four contenders: Nadal, Borg, Becker, and WIlander, with Alcaraz a clear #5, and then the other three Slam winners being challenged by McEnroe who won a handful of big titles as a teen.

By my PEP system, it is:
Becker 73
Borg 60
Wilander 53
Nadal 51
Alcaraz 40

If you give Rafa the +10 points for 2006 RG, he slips past Borg to 61 but is still a good ways behind Becker, who gets a lot of points for deep runs at some bigger tournaments (he was a Tour Finals runner-up twice...in one year! And also at four Masters, and reached two Slam SF).

Just on pure title count:
18 Nadal
13 Borg, Wilander
12 Becker
10 Alcaraz

I think overall Becker gets the "Super Teenager" crown. His extra Slam more than makes up for Rafa's two extra Masters; same ATP 500s (or mid-level tournaments). Rafa's extra titles are mostly low-level stuff, and then Becker was going deep in a lot of tournaments. Borg vs. Rafa vs. Mats is a bit closer.
 
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El Dude

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I made a chart. Here's how it looks by PEP:
Screen Shot 2024-06-23 at 9.22.49 PM.png


Shades of green are titles, purple are finals, gold SF, pink quarterfinals. Point values are assigned as follows:

Slams: 10/5/3/1 (W/F/SF/QF)
Masters: 4/2/1 (W/F/SF)
ATP 500: 2/1 (W/F)
ATP 250: 1 (W)
Finals: 1/win +1 for title
 

Moxie

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I had a chart at one point but couldn't find it. But on a quick review, I think you have to give that title to Borg or Becker, with Rafa third, Wilander fourth, then Alcaraz rounding out the top five.

First of all, start with Slam titles. Eight players have won GS titles as teenagers: two each by Borg, Becker, and Wilander, one each by Nadal, Alcaraz, Edberg, Sampras, and Chang.

But here's where it gets a bit tricky: Rafa won his second 8 days after turning 20 in a tournament (the 2006 French Open on June 11) that started when he was 19. So if you count his age as when the tournament started, he gets two Slams. But...is that fair to Borg, who won his third Slam a few weeks after turning 20? (1976 Wimbledon).

So we should probably keep it strict, which means Rafa has the one, and two vs. one is significant.

After Slam titles, you have Masters. Rafa won six, Becker and Alcaraz 4 each (or their equivalents), Borg 3 plus the WCT Finals which is equivalent, so 4; Wilander won 2; and the others 0 or 1. For overall big titles, that 7 for Rafa, 7 for Borg and Becker, 5 for Alcaraz, 4 for Wilander. So I think that makes it more of a three-way race with Rafa, Becker, and Borg.

Looking at lower titles and overall deep results and you still have four contenders: Nadal, Borg, Becker, and WIlander, with Alcaraz a clear #5, and then the other three Slam winners being challenged by McEnroe who won a handful of big titles as a teen.

By my PEP system, it is:
Becker 73
Borg 60
Wilander 53
Nadal 51
Alcaraz 40

If you give Rafa the +10 points for 2006 RG, he slips past Borg to 61 but is still a good ways behind Becker, who gets a lot of points for deep runs at some bigger tournaments (he was a Tour Finals runner-up twice...in one year! And also at four Masters, and reached two Slam SF).

Just on pure title count:
18 Nadal
13 Borg, Wilander
12 Becker
10 Alcaraz

I think overall Becker gets the "Super Teenager" crown. His extra Slam more than makes up for Rafa's two extra Masters; same ATP 500s (or mid-level tournaments). Rafa's extra titles are mostly low-level stuff, and then Becker was going deep in a lot of tournaments. Borg vs. Rafa vs. Mats is a bit closer.
I definitely agree with you that Rafa isn't the greatest teenager. That's proven. That's just recency bias. He's just in the conversation. Loudly. Especially if you look at featuring as a teenager and having longevity.

You mention Nadal winning his 2nd FO just after turning 20, and Borg winning Wimbledon, his 3rd, just after turning 20. I just want to mention the amusing point that the 2 greatest men's RG champions actually have their birthdays during it. (Well, Rafa always, and Borg often.) Anyway, if you have to give one, you have to give the other. Rafa is 3 June and Borg is 6 June.
 

Moxie

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I made a chart. Here's how it looks by PEP:
View attachment 9542

Shades of green are titles, purple are finals, gold SF, pink quarterfinals. Point values are assigned as follows:

Slams: 10/5/3/1 (W/F/SF/QF)
Masters: 4/2/1 (W/F/SF)
ATP 500: 2/1 (W/F)
ATP 250: 1 (W)
Finals: 1/win +1 for title
The one that surprises me is Wilander, tbh. But i wasn't watching so much tennis then. He definitely faded.
 
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