You know that I think odd-makers are idiots. Their h2h is 3-2 in favor of Novak, and they're never met on grass. Rune is not trending, but neither is Novak looking unbeatable. There are several x-factors: Rune is young, and he knows he's beaten the champ. We keep wondering when he'll come up to potential. He has room to grow. He's likely to get up for the big match, but can he control his game? Novak, on the other side, seems to be finding his range. Will he be cautious with the temperamental Dane? Wait for him to burn himself out? I agree that it could be a more even match than it looks on paper. A lot of variables. Certainly, Holger has to come out strong. If he gets behind early, it's hard to see him catching up.