I do not. I think it comes down to a handful of States and frankly Florida is probably completely off the cards with this Cuba nonsense. I get the argument that Sanders can bring in a new voting base, but in all likelihood these are folks who are most likely located in already blue States, big deal if he wins the popular vote, it doesn't matter. The problem with Sanders is that never Trumpers won't vote for him. The advantage that moderates like Klobuchar, Biden and Bloomberg have is that they will dissuade some voters from going for Trump. They might not bring in as many new voters, but this should be an election that is a referendum on Trump, all elections against an incumbent have to be about that. But with Sanders it will be a straight vote against a decent economy versus a change that I doubt that most Americans want. It's one of the dumbest showings of electoral self sabotage I have ever seen. Nothing I've seen so far from Democrats shows they have the stuff that's needed to win. They have even managed to make healthcare an issue that leaves doubt about whether they are better custodians than the GOP. I'm so disgusted that if I was a voter I might even vote against them. The self righteousness I hear from people like Warren makes me want to puke. It's like what happened in the UK has completely flown right by them. Ask yourself why Putin wants Sanders to win. There is a collective fantasy that would be laughable if it wasn't so serious. For fucks sake NATO is at risk. So what if Bloomberg did stop and frisk, does anyone really believe he would do it again? It's pathetic
I don't disagree that a moderate would have a better chance of picking up Never Trumpers and some moderates who may have voted Trump last time, but have found him off-putting as a leader. I AM concerned that Bernie seems to be heading for the nomination. I just want to point out the irony of your calling Sanders' talking about Cuba as "nonsense," when Trump is allowed to fall in love with Kim Jung Un and Vladimir Putin. I realize that Trump gets away with everything, but it is funny how these old WWII/Cold War tropes play out, one side and the other. Nowadays, dictators are OK, but only if they're Trump's dictators, i.e., right-wing ones. Any amount of Russian interference is OK and can't be discussed. Even though the Russians were our enemies for decades, as has been North Korea, and both are actually nuclear threats. However, if a Democrat talks about Socialism, which really does exist in this country, in some of our favorite policies, across the board and across all political stripes, he becomes vilified and unelectable. Castro actually did do really good things for Cuba, post-Batista and the very repressive regimes that preceded him, and Castro was never any threat to the US, after the Cuban Missile Crisis. And yet we still pretend that the aging Cubans in Miami hold sway over how Florida votes. I'm not pretending that the rhetoric doesn't work against Bernie, and progressive Dems on Medicare for all, but I'm just pointing out that it doesn't make logical sense that they're perfectly happy to pull in with the other side of the Cold War and ignore/embrace what we used to fear or actively fought against.
I agree. This election will come down to less than 50,000 votes in a handful of states (most notably Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania). Swing voters in those states are not going to vote for a “socialist” or “communist” — which is exactly how he will be relentlessly described by the Republicans. This will also motivate even more Republicans to vote to make sure Sanders loses. Democrats will set themselves up to lose the Presidency, to have zero chance of taking back the Senate, and likely to lose the House again. Total defeat.
As I said above, it's amazing that people will vote for what they used to hate and yet still hang onto some fear of "Socialism," against their own interests. If that's really who we've become, I don't know how you fight it, anyway. They've embraced the hate, the strongmen, and they don't care what it means to democracy. No concern that Russia is going to fiddle our elections, again, which I find one of the most appalling things.