US Politics Thread

Federberg

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Not sure how this is going to play out yet, but it's not a good short term look for the Kurds. Lots of dynamics in play though... Kurds moving back into the Assad sphere of influence and Russia's position in this. Clearly a vacuum with American withdrawal but hard to predict how the chips will fall.
not like they had much choice. Join with Assad or face obliteration. Iran and Russia must be rubbing their hands with glee.. Trump is hands down the worst President in American history and it's not even close. The likes of Andrew Johnson must be welcoming him into the pantheon with great relief
 

britbox

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not like they had much choice. Join with Assad or face obliteration. Iran and Russia must be rubbing their hands with glee.. Trump is hands down the worst President in American history and it's not even close. The likes of Andrew Johnson must be welcoming him into the pantheon with great relief

Yeah, the Kurds don't really have anywhere else to turn, so no real surprises. As far as American foreign policy goes, you've got to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of being in Syria. Take Trump out of your thinking for a moment and tell me why they are there.
 

Federberg

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Yeah, the Kurds don't really have anywhere else to turn, so no real surprises. As far as American foreign policy goes, you've got to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of being in Syria. Take Trump out of your thinking for a moment and tell me why they are there.
Forget about Syria mate, I think you're looking at trees and missing the wood. Can American alliances be trusted anymore? Should the word of an American President be respected? Erdogan apparently threw that letter in the bin. That's where America is at now. Have we ever seen American troops having to bomb a base they've just left before? It's a really bad look. I fear the world is less safe today, because Trump looks so spineless someone is going to test him. I just hope it's not Russia, Iran, China or North Korea. Sigh...
 

Federberg

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Look at the General sitting next to Trump. The man looks ashamed...

1500x500
 
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britbox

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Forget about Syria mate, I think you're looking at trees and missing the wood. Can American alliances be trusted anymore? Should the word of an American President be respected? Erdogan apparently threw that letter in the bin. That's where America is at now. Have we ever seen American troops having to bomb a base they've just left before? It's a really bad look. I fear the world is less safe today, because Trump looks so spineless someone is going to test him. I just hope it's not Russia, Iran, China or North Korea. Sigh...

American engagement in any theatre usually makes the world less safe if you are counting bodies.

Can American alliances be trusted? America works in the interests of America. If the alliance is detrimental to US interests, then don't expect it to last long. This is nothing new... Vietnam anyone?

Erdogan is a rather special case IMO. Not many shoot down Russian jets and throw letters from a US president into a garbage bin.

This is rather a damned if you do and damned if you don't argument. The US gets criticised for being involved in foreign theatres, yet when it doesn't it gets condemned.
 

Federberg

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Can American alliances be trusted? America works in the interests of America. If the alliance is detrimental to US interests, then don't expect it to last long. This is nothing new... Vietnam anyone?
come on man... this is not the same as Vietnam, in anyway shape or form. That at least was predictable. This was not. The US have few operators in the line of fire here. The Kurds were the pointy end of the spear, and on a whim the orange faecal stain turned tail. You keep looking at this in terms of moral equivalence. I don't care about the niceties of American interests. What I do care about is how the US might be challenged as outside actors assess the craveness and incompetence of Trump. The world is definitely not safer today, and note I haven't even mentioned ISIS. And also note that any idea that this move is consistent with a retreat from forever wars should look southwards to the build up of American troops in Saudi Arabia. It seems that Trump is trying to make the US Army a mercenary company
 

britbox

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come on man... this is not the same as Vietnam, in anyway shape or form. That at least was predictable. This was not. The US have few operators in the line of fire here. The Kurds were the pointy end of the spear, and on a whim the orange faecal stain turned tail. You keep looking at this in terms of moral equivalence. I don't care about the niceties of American interests. What I do care about is how the US might be challenged as outside actors assess the craveness and incompetence of Trump. The world is definitely not safer today, and note I haven't even mentioned ISIS. And also note that any idea that this move is consistent with a retreat from forever wars should look southwards to the build up of American troops in Saudi Arabia. It seems that Trump is trying to make the US Army a mercenary company

Take Trump out of the equation for a moment, because I'm feeling this is more about him for you than any empathy towards Kurds in Syria. I don't recall you mentioning them before.

So, with that in mind, what do you propose US policy should be in Syria? or the middle east for that matter. The status quo has been an abject failure for decades.
 

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Take Trump out of the equation for a moment, because I'm feeling this is more about him for you than any empathy towards Kurds in Syria. I don't recall you mentioning them before.

So, with that in mind, what do you propose US policy should be in Syria? or the middle east for that matter. The status quo has been an abject failure for decades.
Mate this isn't about Kurds, it's not about Syria, it's not even about Trump. This is about whether or not the world is a safer place today than a week before. In my view America's actions:

  • abandoning allies, allies who have done the fighting as a proxy for the US military, to almost certain obliteration
  • writing weak unprofessional letters in place of real diplomacy, and having those entreaties utterly ignored by the Turks
has created a new understanding of Trump that will surely tempt others to call his bluff. I believe that your awareness of my view on Trump is preventing you from analysing the bigger picture. That's what I care about. If you don't have a view on it, or don't care that's fine. But please leave off about Trump or Syria or Kurds. It's really not the point as far as I'm concerned
 

britbox

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No mate, this is about Trump. Read your own post back to yourself. You start by saying it's not about Trump but then within a paragraph, it's all about Trump.

Anyway, Is the world a safer place? Militarily, Trump seems like a dove compared to some of his predecessors. Economically, he's a hawk. Was the world much safer under Obama? under Bush? How are we measuring this?

Abandoning proxies is nothing new. Most global powers abandon proxies once they've served their purpose. It might not sit well, but it's just the way it is. This isn't anything new... it's been happening through the ages. Not just Americans, but all global powers - past and present.

Yes, the letter Trump wrote to Erdogan was absolutely unprofessional. It's like a note I'd expect to see passed around in a schoolyard. That, I can agree on.
 

Murat Baslamisli

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Guys, there are a lot of wrong info about what is going on in Turkey. Trump has an idea a little bit.

First, there are 12 million Kurds in Turkey, living peacefully . They do not hurt anyone, nobody hurts them.
Second, Turkey have been fighting with PKK for over 50 years. Mostly around the Syrian border. over 25.000 Turks died in these fights, and I am sure at least that many PKK fighters. PKK does not represent the Kurds. They want the south east Turkey separated from Turkey for a Kurdistan. Of course Turkey will never let that happen. Hence the fight since early 80's.
Third, every single Turkish president I know had operations across the border in Syria, because that is where the PKK bases and training camps are.

Turkey is currently housing almost 3 million Syrian refugees that escaped ISIS. Turkey fights ISIS. Kurds also fights ISIS. Turkey also fights PKK. It has been a shit show since day one. Enemy of my enemy is still my enemy situation ...fucked up !
Erdogan is a megalomaniac but as far as PKK is concerned, he is not doing anything new. It looks different now because the area has changed so much recently. The players are different.
 
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mrzz

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Yes, the letter Trump wrote to Erdogan was absolutely unprofessional. It's like a note I'd expect to see passed around in a schoolyard. That, I can agree on.

I cannot believe I am saying this, but you guys are failing to see what Trump is doing. He knows damn well it is unprofessional. But he knows as well that he cannot play in the traditional diplomatic fields. USA has been losing all diplomacy battles in the last 20 years (just count the unilateral bombings). He is simply changing the battlefield and the engagement rules on the diplomatic level. That alone is smart.

There was not a soul in the world that trusted USA as an ally. Countries rely on long term geopolitical interests, that's all. Trump's actions did not change the diplomatic landscape (with regards to who trusts the USA) one inch. Maybe for the better.
 

calitennis127

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The quid pro quo is not necessary, even though it was implied.

Lol.....is that why the Democrats in their scheme led with "quid pro quo" as their main charge when the story first broke, and why to this day is Schiff still trying to get so-called "witnesses" to say that Ukraine was pressured by Trump? The Ukrainian president says that he didn't feel pressured, but Schiff is trying to get the diplomats to say that Ukraine did in fact feel pressured.

Look at this latest story:

Schiff pushed Volker to say Ukraine felt pressure from Trump

Trump solicited the aid of a foreign government for his own benefit in a US election. This violates campaign finance law.

Great, then by your own standard you would have supported the impeachment of Hillary Clinton in February 2017 after this story broke in Politico in January 2017, correct? Because the Hillary campaign worked with Ukrainian government officials to get dirt on Trump:

"Ukrainian government officials tried to help Hillary Clinton and undermine Trump by publicly questioning his fitness for office. They also disseminated documents implicating a top Trump aide in corruption and suggested they were investigating the matter, only to back away after the election. And they helped Clinton’s allies research damaging information on Trump and his advisers, a Politico investigation found.

A Ukrainian-American operative who was consulting for the Democratic National Committee met with top officials in the Ukrainian Embassy in Washington in an effort to expose ties between Trump, top campaign aide Paul Manafort and Russia, according to people with direct knowledge of the situation.

The Ukrainian efforts had an impact in the race, helping to force Manafort’s resignation and advancing the narrative that Trump’s campaign was deeply connected to Ukraine’s foe to the east, Russia.
But they were far less concerted or centrally directed than Russia’s alleged hacking and dissemination of Democratic emails."

Ukrainian efforts to sabotage Trump backfire

Trump solicited a "thing of value" (i.e., dirt on Biden) from a foreign entity.

Which is exactly what the Hillary campaign did with Ukrainian government officials in influencing Trump to fire Manafort and also what the Hillary campaign did with Russian government officials in creating the dossier. So I am glad to see that you would have supported the impeachment of Hillary Clinton during her first year in office.

I'm 100% sure you would have supported Hillary's impeachment because you are that consistent and that principled - just like when it comes to foreign wars. When Bush launched a war, you hated it. Now that Trump is trying to get out of the Middle East, you are all of a sudden quiet.

It's actually specifically what the framers had in mind when they laid out impeachment laws...they were worried that England would try to influence our elections. .

Lol.....like you give a damn what they thought. 90% of what they believed contradicts your entire worldview.

they were worried that England would try to influence our elections.

Indeed. It was common knowledge at the time that WikiLeaks often worked with the British to hack into foreign elections. It was a real mess.
 

Federberg

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Guys, there are a lot of wrong info about what is going on in Turkey. Trump has an idea a little bit.

First, there are 12 million Kurds in Turkey, living peacefully . They do not hurt anyone, nobody hurts them.
Second, Turkey have been fighting with PKK for over 50 years. Mostly around the Syrian border. over 25.000 Turks died in these fights, and I am sure at least that many PKK fighters. PKK does not represent the Kurds. They want the south east Turkey separated from Turkey for a Kurdistan. Of course Turkey will never let that happen. Hence the fight since early 80's.
Third, every single Turkish president I know had operations across the border in Syria, because that is where the PKK bases and training camps are.

Turkey is currently housing almost 3 million Syrian refugees that escaped ISIS. Turkey fights ISIS. Kurds also fights ISIS. Turkey also fights PKK. It has been a shit show since day one. Enemy of my enemy is still my enemy situation ...fucked up !
Erdogan is a megalomaniac but as far as PKK is concerned, he is not doing anything new. It looks different now because the area has changed so much recently. The players are different.
The ideas that Trump has are straight from Erdogan, which is just another way of saying that he doesn't have any original thought of his own. But that's ok. Turkey is doing what is in their best interests. They need to secure their territorial integrity and they can't really be blamed for that. But let's not kid ourselves, Erdogan didn't do much to stop ISIS from using Turkey as a bridge into Europe. It's not really his concern so it is what it is. His dealings with Russia are in conflict with Turkey's NATO alliances and I wager that at some point in the near future either Turkey leaves the alliance or NATO removes him. I can't see US nuclear ordinance remaining in Turkey as being consistent with NATO's security interests, but Turkey has always been an outlier of sorts in the alliance anyway. The idea that this is the same as it used to be is naive at best imho
 

Federberg

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I cannot believe I am saying this, but you guys are failing to see what Trump is doing. He knows damn well it is unprofessional. But he knows as well that he cannot play in the traditional diplomatic fields. USA has been losing all diplomacy battles in the last 20 years (just count the unilateral bombings). He is simply changing the battlefield and the engagement rules on the diplomatic level. That alone is smart.

There was not a soul in the world that trusted USA as an ally. Countries rely on long term geopolitical interests, that's all. Trump's actions did not change the diplomatic landscape (with regards to who trusts the USA) one inch. Maybe for the better.
lol! It always makes me laugh when deep thinking it attributed to Trump. This was a distraction from the impeachment narrative that backfired. Plain and simple. Let's not make it into anything more than it is
 

Federberg

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No mate, this is about Trump. Read your own post back to yourself. You start by saying it's not about Trump but then within a paragraph, it's all about Trump.

Anyway, Is the world a safer place? Militarily, Trump seems like a dove compared to some of his predecessors. Economically, he's a hawk. Was the world much safer under Obama? under Bush? How are we measuring this?

Abandoning proxies is nothing new. Most global powers abandon proxies once they've served their purpose. It might not sit well, but it's just the way it is. This isn't anything new... it's been happening through the ages. Not just Americans, but all global powers - past and present.

Yes, the letter Trump wrote to Erdogan was absolutely unprofessional. It's like a note I'd expect to see passed around in a schoolyard. That, I can agree on.
you're debating like a politician mate. It's quite funny actually. The action was by Trump, I had no choice but to speak about the action. But the question is what are the consequences of those actions. You can deflect if you want, that's ok. You have no interest in putting forth a response, that's fine. And by the way, economically he is not a hawk. He's a moron. He had the opportunity to take on China, something which is absolutely necessary but he has framed the conflict in a way that will force allies and non allies alike to focus on their own interests, instead of taking a holistic approach with Western developed market interests into account. He has weakened America in the long term, and likely destabilised post World War 2 arrangements probably irrevocably now. I do find it interesting that you were ok with criticising Obama's 'red line' fiasco and providing a critical assessment of the implications, but now when Trump has taken actions which are far more provocative you have nothing to say. Just that nothing new has happened. All well and good, it's your view :)
 

calitennis127

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lol! It always makes me laugh when deep thinking it attributed to Trump.

Yeah, Trump did not think as deeply about Syria as Obama did while 500,000 people died in Syria during Obama's time in office.

This was a distraction from the impeachment narrative that backfired. Plain and simple. Let's not make it into anything more than it is

Yeah, it's not like Trump tried to withdraw troops from Syria in December 2018 or anything. It's also not like he ever talked about getting out of the Middle East 1 billion times during his campaign. Not at all.
 

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you're debating like a politician mate. It's quite funny actually. The action was by Trump, I had no choice but to speak about the action. But the question is what are the consequences of those actions. You can deflect if you want, that's ok. You have no interest in putting forth a response, that's fine. And by the way, economically he is not a hawk. He's a moron. He had the opportunity to take on China, something which is absolutely necessary but he has framed the conflict in a way that will force allies and non allies alike to focus on their own interests, instead of taking a holistic approach with Western developed market interests into account. He has weakened America in the long term, and likely destabilised post World War 2 arrangements probably irrevocably now. I do find it interesting that you were ok with criticising Obama's 'red line' fiasco and providing a critical assessment of the implications, but now when Trump has taken actions which are far more provocative you have nothing to say. Just that nothing new has happened. All well and good, it's your view :)
I did have something to say. I said leaving Syria will leave a vacuum that others will exploit. However, I'm not sure why the action is surprising you so much. China and Iran were in Trump's crosshairs from day one. Syria wasn't.

The original American objective in Syria was regime change. That boat sailed a long time ago... before Trump even came into power.

If you are talking about issues with allies, then this doesn't register that highly. Tearing up the Iran nuclear agreement and the trade war with China have a much bigger impact on relationships with traditional allies. The SDF aren't traditional allies, they've just been used as a proxy instrument. In fact, you could argue that partnering up with the SDF in the first place was more threatening to arrangements with NATO allies such as Turkey.
 
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GameSetAndMath

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The quid pro quo is not necessary, even though it was implied. Trump solicited the aid of a foreign government for his own benefit in a US election. This violates campaign finance law. Trump solicited a "thing of value" (i.e., dirt on Biden) from a foreign entity. It's actually specifically what the framers had in mind when they laid out impeachment laws...they were worried that England would try to influence our elections. It's not even vague in terms of "high crimes and misdemeanors." This is specifically what they were thinking of.


Why is "dirt" a thing of value? I thought "dirt" means useless stuff. :D
 

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Why is "dirt" a thing of value? I thought "dirt" means useless stuff. :D
:laugh: How is dirt useless? You couldn't grow much without it. In this case, Trump was trying to "grow" his chances of winning the election by selling favors to a foreign government. :skull:
 

Federberg

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This is surreal... I honestly don't know what to think. HRC's podcast comments seemed bizarre, but this guy.... I tend to listen to this fella...

 
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