El Dude
The GOAT
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Sounds like a thread topic, though I know the Seles What If story is sort of like the WTA's version of the Borg What If story.I wish we could replay the last 2/3 of the 1990s with Seles never getting stabbed and Capriati never self-destructing. I'm pretty sure Steffi never gets to 22 slams, she may probably never catch Navratilova/Evert at 18. Seles probably approaches Steffi/Navratilova/Evert's slam totals, and Capriati wins at least 12.
I know a lot less about women's tennis, but my sense is that this scenario would have impacted lesser players more than Graf, who held her own against peak Seles and still ruled Wimbledon. I mean, she'd probably have won fewer Slams, but I'm looking more at players like Vicario Sanchez, Mary Pierce, Conchita Martinez and of course all those Slams Graf didn't play in the late 90s. Martina Hingis would have also been majorly impacted.
As for Capriati, I think she would have been third fiddle behind Graf/Seles, and maybe risen to the top when Hingis had her reign. I mean, we probably got a sense of how good she could have been in 2001-02, and most of her "lost" Slams would probably have been after Steffi's last great year in 1996.
There is no doubt in my mind that Seles was in the same talent tier as Graf, Navratilova, and Evert (with arguably the highest peak level of all of them), and without that tragedy would have definitely found her way to 15++ Slams. So in your scenario, I see final Slam counts being more like: Graf 18-20, Seles 15-20, Capriati 6-8. So that's an extra 9-16 or so, which I'm taking 2-4 from Graf, and the other 7-12 from Hingis, Sanchez Vicario, and other players.
But who knows!