RG 2015 Odds

[GameSetAndMath]

I know it is bit early. But, the gambling world does not stop.

Here is an article with early odds for different players to win. This is based on the odds offered by betting houses and not one man's opinion of who will win.

Not much surprise. Nadal is the favorite. Novak is fairly close. All the rest way behind.
Interestingly, Wawrinka has better odds than Fed for winning RG'15. Perhaps, it is fair too.
Last year, he fell early as he is not grounded after his AO high. In reality, clay courts
suit Wawrinka better.

 

[Kieran]

Murray at 20/1 and Nick at 150/1 are the best odds there, for me. Even Federer at 20, and Stan at 16. Fairly long odds for top players. I know it's a long way off, but this is probably the best time to place an outside bet, is it?

 

[auto-pilot]

Was Djokovic the betting favorite heading into last year's RG?
I don't remember checking the odds at the time, but 8 of the 10 ESPN tennis experts tipped Djokovic, I guess because they valued Rome so much.
Still it was strange because Djokovic hadn't won a slam title since 2013 AO, while Nadal had recently won 2013 US Open and made the final of 2014 AO.
ESPN and various other media outlets tend to value the non-slams just as much as the slams when trying to predict a winner, so they jump on the bandwagon of whoever has won whatever event recently.

 

[DarthFed]

Murray at 20/1 and Nick at 150/1 are the best odds there, for me. Even Federer at 20, and Stan at 16. Fairly long odds for top players. I know it's a long way off, but this is probably the best time to place an outside bet, is it?

Murray at 20/1 would be a terrible bet. He does not have a 1/20 chance of winning that, probably doesn't have a 1/100 in reality. Fed and Stan at those odds isn't too bad.

 

[brokenshoelace]

Laying any sort of money on Murray at the FO can be pretty enticing since in case it happens, you'll hit a home run. The problem is, his odds are that way on purpose, since in all likelihood you're just throwing away whatever amount you're putting on him to win it.

 

[the AntiPusher]

One thing I have learned being on these boards, if Darth says something is not a good bet, you can no pun intended, take it to the bank.. I dont like Murray counter punching style winning at RG, there are so many clay court specialist out there that will :heart: to play Andy on that surface. IMO

 

[herios]

Was Djokovic the betting favorite heading into last year's RG?
I don't remember checking the odds at the time, but 8 of the 10 ESPN tennis experts tipped Djokovic, I guess because they valued Rome so much.
Still it was strange because Djokovic hadn't won a slam title since 2013 AO, while Nadal had recently won 2013 US Open and made the final of 2014 AO.
ESPN and various other media outlets tend to value the non-slams just as much as the slams when trying to predict a winner, so they jump on the bandwagon of whoever has won whatever event recently.

BEFORE RG started last year, Novak had slightly better odds than Rafa because of his win in Rome.
But AFTER the event started and a few rounds before they met in the final, the odds have flipped slightly to Rafa.

 

[DarthFed]

One thing I have learned being on these boards, if Darth says something is not a good bet, you can no pun intended, take it to the bank.. I dont like Murray counter punching style winning at RG, there are so many clay court specialist out there that will :heart: to play Andy on that surface. IMO

Thanks for the props AP, though I don't think my record on tennis is anything like the NFL. I'd have lost a lot of money on the SB this year as you know, but that's due to Lane's injury and Petey's play call for the ages. I don't feel like such a dunce for missing that one.

 

[El Dude]

I'll simplify things:

Rafa or Novak: Very likely
Everyone else: Very unlikely

That said, I'd love to see someone like Kei Nishikori sneak this one out. Imagine Novak polishing Rafa off in the semifinals and then Kei playing the match of his life to beat Novak. He is 2-3 against Novak, so it could happen!

Maybe.

 

[auto-pilot]

^ Seeing as Nishikori beat Djokovic at the US Open, and considering Nishikori looked awesome at Madrid, its very possible.

 

[auto-pilot]

I think 2014RG gave Nadal more confidence than any other RG, because it proved to Nadal that even if Djokovic beats him on clay just before RG starts (Rome), Nadal still has control over him at RG.
And conversely it would have been a huge body-blow for Djokovic, especially after he got so close at 2013RG and could not push Nadal to a 5th set at 2014RG.

 

[Kieran]

Here's the full odds from the article:

Rafael Nadal 11/8
Novak Djokovic 3/2
Stan Wawrinka 16/1
Andy Murray 20/1
Juan Martin Del Potro 20/1
Kei Nishikori 20/1
Roger Federer 20/1
David Ferrer 33/1
Grigor Dimitrov 33/1
Tomas Berdych 33/1
Marin Cilic 40/1
Milos Raonic 40/1
Ernests Gulbis 50/1
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 50/1
Gael Monfils 66/1
Dominic Thiem, 80/1
Fabio Fognini 100/1
Nick Kyrgios 150/1
John Isner 200/1

I'm at a loss as to why they quoted Fabio's odds...

 

[El Dude]

I've never bet on sports but it is awfully tempting to drop a few bucks on Nick Kyrgios in every Slam going forward...I'm mean it has to happen at some point, right? Of course the odds will continue to get higher and higher.

How does one bet on sports, anyhow?

 

[MargaretMcAleer]

I would not put money on Nick especially on clay,even as a junior it wasnt his best surface,like Tomic who was sent home from Roland Garos as a junior,as he was deemed not to be trying.

 

[MargaretMcAleer]

Actually I would put some money on Kei Nishikori,though like we saw in the Australian Open he picked up a quad injury before his q/final match with Wawrinka.Kei is good on the clay,though playing at Roland Garos for 2 weeks,you need to be in top physical condition,the rallies are long,I still feel his body is made of glass.

 

[DarthFed]

I've never bet on sports but it is awfully tempting to drop a few bucks on Nick Kyrgios in every Slam going forward...I'm mean it has to happen at some point, right? Of course the odds will continue to get higher and higher.

How does one bet on sports, anyhow?

Go to Vegas or find an online casino. I'd recommend Bovada for non Blackjack players. My problem is I like blackjack...

As for the odds, who in the world would bet on DP right now. Will he even be playing?

 

[the AntiPusher]

Here's the full odds from the article:

Rafael Nadal 11/8
Novak Djokovic 3/2
Stan Wawrinka 16/1
Andy Murray 20/1
Juan Martin Del Potro 20/1
Kei Nishikori 20/1
Roger Federer 20/1
David Ferrer 33/1
Grigor Dimitrov 33/1
Tomas Berdych 33/1
Marin Cilic 40/1
Milos Raonic 40/1
Ernests Gulbis 50/1
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 50/1
Gael Monfils 66/1
Dominic Thiem, 80/1
Fabio Fognini 100/1
Nick Kyrgios 150/1
John Isner 200/1

I'm at a loss as to why they quoted Fabio's odds...

why is JowillieTs odds are such a long shot , he has been pretty steady the past few years loosing twice to Novak and ferrer once.

 

[MargaretMcAleer]

Here's the full odds from the article:

Rafael Nadal 11/8
Novak Djokovic 3/2
Stan Wawrinka 16/1
Andy Murray 20/1
Juan Martin Del Potro 20/1
Kei Nishikori 20/1
Roger Federer 20/1
David Ferrer 33/1
Grigor Dimitrov 33/1
Tomas Berdych 33/1
Marin Cilic 40/1
Milos Raonic 40/1
Ernests Gulbis 50/1
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 50/1
Gael Monfils 66/1
Dominic Thiem, 80/1
Fabio Fognini 100/1
Nick Kyrgios 150/1
John Isner 200/1

I'm at a loss as to why they quoted Fabio's odds...

why is JowillieTs odds are such a long shot , he has been pretty steady the past few years loosing twice to Novak and ferrer once.

I would not touch Jo Willie at all,after defeating Roger in the q.final and he did not even show up on court against Ferrer in their s/final...I prefer Jo on a HC or grass quite frankly

 

[Kirijax]

I know better than to bet against Nadal at the French, but just for giggles, I would still lose my sanity at the moment of betting and put some down on Berdych. My reasoning? Absolutely none whatsoever.

 

[brokenshoelace]

Here's the full odds from the article:

Rafael Nadal 11/8
Novak Djokovic 3/2
Stan Wawrinka 16/1
Andy Murray 20/1
Juan Martin Del Potro 20/1
Kei Nishikori 20/1
Roger Federer 20/1
David Ferrer 33/1
Grigor Dimitrov 33/1
Tomas Berdych 33/1
Marin Cilic 40/1
Milos Raonic 40/1
Ernests Gulbis 50/1
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 50/1
Gael Monfils 66/1
Dominic Thiem, 80/1
Fabio Fognini 100/1
Nick Kyrgios 150/1
John Isner 200/1

I'm at a loss as to why they quoted Fabio's odds...

why is JowillieTs odds are such a long shot , he has been pretty steady the past few years loosing twice to Novak and ferrer once.

Bookmakers sometimes deliberately give inviting odds on long shots as people will look at those odds and go: "Whoa, these are kind of harsh" and feel encourage to throw money. In reality, all they'll be doing is throwing away money as, in this case Tsonga, won't be winning the French Open.