shivashish said:
El Dude said:
Grigor Dimitrov must be the biggest waste of talent since David Nalbandian. Maybe we can include Ernests Gulbis in there somewhere.
Disgusting. It's the reason why I keep my heart with the big 4 or 5 whatever. These guys have entertained us for so long, so well unlike these youngsters who are struggling to reach week 2 in their heydays. 19 year olds are yet to win something. The older big guns are yet to win anything big and are disgustingly inconsistent.
Among the following guys who can become a future great ?
1. Frances Tiafoe
2. Taylor Fritz
3. Alexander Zverev
4. Nishioka
All seem to be struggling big time but they have time. The only thing they have on their side is time. Talent-wise, I don't see much. None of them is even close to even Murray.
First of all, clearly
some of these guys will win Slams simply by virtue of the fact that the Big Five (including Stan) can't play forever and will inevitably fade to a point where even a lesser generation of talent will surpass them. But I've said before that I don't see any probable all-time greats (6+ Slam winners) among the NextGen, just a bunch of guys that will win a Slam or three, although you never know. But I think we'll see a bunch of guys born 1993 to 1999 or so who win a Slam or two, and maybe one or two who win three or four, but probably none in that range that win five or more.
Right now I think the players born 1993 or later with the best chances of winning Slams are Thiem, Kyrgios, and Zverev, with a few players right behind them: Tiafoe, Fritz, and then maybe guys like Ruud, Rublev, Shapovalov, de Minaur, etc. I see Nishioka in the next group of players who probably won't win Slams but will be regulars in the top 20-30: Pouille, Edmund, Coric, Medvedev, Khachanov, Kozlov, Lee, Escobedo, etc.
There are a few players who I am watching closely, for signs of potential breakthroughs. Andrey Rublev is the same age as Fritz but has not yet broke into the top 100, and just lost to Berdych in the 2nd round. But I think he has a lot more to his game and could be in the same category as Tiafoe and Fritz.
Another is Mikael Ymer, who lost a lot of last year to injury but I think has a lot of potential.
Finally, Felix Auger Aliassime. If I had to pick one player on the horizon who could be the next great, it might be him. But he's very young (16) and with a heart issue, so it is too soon to say.
So in other words, I see the next five or so years being the twilight years of the Big Five, with the NextGen gradually taking big titles away from them. But we probably won't see a true all-time great emerge for another few years, maybe not until 2022 or later.