I read at other places that Djokovic will beat Fed in 4 or 5 sets in the final. I'll tell you why this is unlikely and what is different then and now.
The difference is one word -
PRESSURE TO WIN #18. Ok, that's more than one word but the point is that #18 seemed like forever so the pressure kept growing and growing till it became almost unbearable for Fed and boy did it show.
Here's the deal - This time it will be different because Federer has no pressure of anything.
- He doesn't have pressure of breaking the Wimbledon record because he already has it at 8 titles.
- He doesn't have pressure to break some 5 year slam drought as he won #20 at AO 18.
- He doesn't have pressure of winning tournament #100 as it's #99 he's going for.
- He doesn't have pressure of defending #1 ranking OR regaining #1 ranking by winning Wimbledon.
So to conclude, the pressure is
OFF. Federer will play freely AND Federer has got his improved BH with an improved BH return that was missing in both 2014 and 2015. Also no friggin Edberg making him to do stupid shit like SABR and trying to S&V like a clown.
Past performance is NOT an indicator of future performance. Fed haters love to bring up the past as if that's what will happen. I'm not saying it can't but it's unlikely. I mean if Fed can overturn AO 17 5th set, he can do ANYTHING (short of maybe beating Nadal in a RG final).