After two full rounds (except for one postponed match) are over, it is time to consult the bookies again.
Here are the latest odds.
1. Federer 21/20 (49%)
2. Novak 11/2 (15%)
3. Rafa 6 (14%)
4. JMDP 12 (8%)
5. Raonic / Nick 16 (6%)
7. Anderson 50 (2%)
8. Edmund / Isner 80 (1.2%)
10. Querry / Khachanov / Tsitsipas / Nishikori 100 (1%)
Important observations / changes:
1. Finally, there is significant increase in Fed's chances. It increased from 38% to 49% with the loss of Cilic.
2. We now have only three contenders (10% chance or more).
3. Novak moves ahead of Rafa, though the difference is marginal.
4. The chances for JMDP, Raonic and Nick all have increased by about 2%
5. Edmund and Isner break out of other suckers.
6. Khachanov and Tsitsipas enter, just in case anyone wants to donate money to the house.
7. List size reduced to 13 from previous 15.
Note that there are different companies offering different odds for the same players. What I report is the worst odds offered by any company for that player. In other words, if you have decided to put money on a particular player, no company offers you better odds than the ones listed above. If you are wondering why Sasha is missing here, that is because one house has dropped his odds to 500 (while most other houses list him between 16 and 25). Since I use the maximum odds offered by any single house, his name does not figure in the list above.
Now is a good time to bet on Fed. If you bet $100 on Fed, you will get $200. Not bad. 100% return in just two weeks. The best portfolio in stock market gives you 10% return in an year.