It would be a shock if he wasn't. The only thing that matters on his side of his draw is that he makes it through to the final. Whether he plays Federer or Novak in the final I would expect him to lose... comfortably
On the contrary I expect something good by Muzz. He has the game to beat anyone but what about his 'head'?
He looks good and if he learns to keep his temperament in the right way he could get his first AO easely. If Wawrinka made it, Muzz can do it. All of them have enough game to win but then the confidence is the key
The match against Simon makes me hope Raonic can beat Murray. The Simon match reminds me of the last two finals Murray and Djokovic played and I expect Murray not to go away in the fourth like the last two times if they would meet, especial after Simon. I'm sure Murray will put that match on repeat before the final then.