I'm copying your last from another thread here, in an effort to consolidate the conversation. You wrote:
"i think andy gets wtf and then the Oz comes down to nadal and andy.
now that nadal is going to be #1, he can only meet nole in the final at Oz.
i really cant see anybody stopping nadal at Oz if nole gets andy in his 1/2 there.
i would assign the highest probability to nadal for the Oz title with the current dynamics.
we may be looking at a nadal vs murray final or we may end up having a nadal vs nole final.
one has to favor nadal in such scenarios now. especially this new nadal who has figured a few things."
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I'm perfectly happy to predict the WTF for Nadal, if you're looking for bold, and before-time predictions.
It is a mathematical certainty that Rafa and Nole will be 1 and 2 going into the AO. However, it seems wrong, at this point to give Nadal better than a 50-50 chance. Djokovic has won the last 3 there, and 4 overall. Another issue will be draws. The rest of this year will tell us who goes in there at #4. Federer will surely be making an effort to get the soft land at #4. In any case, I think there will be a number of floating spoilers. WAY too early to tell how the AO is going to shake out.