Moxie629 said:Front242 said:Regardless of draw Murray was always right up there as one of the top favourites anyway so don't think he needed any help. Besides last year's poor loss he's always done well in grass season.
Agreed, but it doesn't hurt. As he'll likely have to go through both Federer and Djokovic to win, it'll be useful to get to the semis without a long trial. Federer and Djokovic will likely have at least one good fight before the SFs. Andy'll be my favorite to win it.
Kieran said:I'm not convinced by Murray, as I posted above. He's got to get through the big guns, and I'm not sure he can...
DarthFed said:Moxie629 said:Front242 said:Regardless of draw Murray was always right up there as one of the top favourites anyway so don't think he needed any help. Besides last year's poor loss he's always done well in grass season.
Agreed, but it doesn't hurt. As he'll likely have to go through both Federer and Djokovic to win, it'll be useful to get to the semis without a long trial. Federer and Djokovic will likely have at least one good fight before the SFs. Andy'll be my favorite to win it.
Andy has a good chance but realistically Djokovic is the favorite here because he won't have to go through 2 of the big dogs. Any scenario where Murray and Fed play a long brutal match means the winner is probably at a disadvantage for the final.
Now if Wawrinka manages to get to the semi then all bets are off but I don't expect him to as he is just not as strong on the faster surfaces.
Moxie629 said:Kieran said:I'm not convinced by Murray, as I posted above. He's got to get through the big guns, and I'm not sure he can...
And the big guns will almost surely have to get through him. Roger is playing confident and relaxed grass tennis. But if he gets to Murray, he will unlikely have the crowd support he had in 2012. Not that that really matters to Roger. But I think Andy has the chops to make it long, and I think that will get Roger. And if it's Novak in the final, he'll have to contend with a cheering section that could fit in a phone booth, once again, which doesn't suit him. I think Andy can take them both.
Kirijax said:I think at this point the only thing Nadal fans have to look forward to is all the points Nadal will rack up over the second half of the season. So he'll probably end up around 5th or so and make the WTF. If he doesn't get injured as he usually does.
Moxie629 said:DarthFed said:Moxie629 said:Agreed, but it doesn't hurt. As he'll likely have to go through both Federer and Djokovic to win, it'll be useful to get to the semis without a long trial. Federer and Djokovic will likely have at least one good fight before the SFs. Andy'll be my favorite to win it.
Andy has a good chance but realistically Djokovic is the favorite here because he won't have to go through 2 of the big dogs. Any scenario where Murray and Fed play a long brutal match means the winner is probably at a disadvantage for the final.
Now if Wawrinka manages to get to the semi then all bets are off but I don't expect him to as he is just not as strong on the faster surfaces.
Agreed that Wawrinka is the most likely one to take Djokovic down before the final. But Novak has some opponents that could make his days a bit long. Tomic maybe not so much. Anderson with the big serve, then Isner or Cilic, perhaps could cause some complications. Likewise, though, Wawrinka doesn't have a clear path. Kyrgios could get out of that quarter, though, and he likes to play the giant-killer.
DarthFed said:Moxie629 said:DarthFed said:Andy has a good chance but realistically Djokovic is the favorite here because he won't have to go through 2 of the big dogs. Any scenario where Murray and Fed play a long brutal match means the winner is probably at a disadvantage for the final.
Now if Wawrinka manages to get to the semi then all bets are off but I don't expect him to as he is just not as strong on the faster surfaces.
Agreed that Wawrinka is the most likely one to take Djokovic down before the final. But Novak has some opponents that could make his days a bit long. Tomic maybe not so much. Anderson with the big serve, then Isner or Cilic, perhaps could cause some complications. Likewise, though, Wawrinka doesn't have a clear path. Kyrgios could get out of that quarter, though, and he likes to play the giant-killer.
Anderson is zero threat. Simply not a good enough server to win on that alone. Isner's serve on the other hand can win by itself and a red hot Cilic could cause trouble for sure. It'd still be a mega upset if he's not in the semis. Isner might take a set and I don't see Cilic suddenly going all USO again.
On the other hand it would not surprise me if Stan lost in any of the next 3 potential matchups on grass. Without so much time to line up the ball he can get erratic. Of course Verdasco is erratic personified so that figures to be entertaining.
DarthFed said:Moxie629 said:Kieran said:I'm not convinced by Murray, as I posted above. He's got to get through the big guns, and I'm not sure he can...
And the big guns will almost surely have to get through him. Roger is playing confident and relaxed grass tennis. But if he gets to Murray, he will unlikely have the crowd support he had in 2012. Not that that really matters to Roger. But I think Andy has the chops to make it long, and I think that will get Roger. And if it's Novak in the final, he'll have to contend with a cheering section that could fit in a phone booth, once again, which doesn't suit him. I think Andy can take them both.
I'd expect Roger to have just as much crowd support as he did in 2012, possibly more. Why wouldn't he when you consider he is just older and Murray got the monkey off his back by winning Wimbledon. Face it, the Brits love him like he is one of their own!
If it shapes up it should be a heck of a match but Berd doo is a wild card in all this. Roger has dominated him twice this year but I still wouldn't call Berd an easy matchup and Fed is well aware that Tomas has won 2 straight matches at majors vs. him. Even if he just stretches Roger (or any of the next 2 opponents stretch him) that could hurt his chances in the semi.
Moxie629 said:Kirijax said:I think at this point the only thing Nadal fans have to look forward to is all the points Nadal will rack up over the second half of the season. So he'll probably end up around 5th or so and make the WTF. If he doesn't get injured as he usually does.
In spite of your outrageous optimism, Kirijax, I think we'll still be hoping for the USO.![]()
Kirijax said:Moxie629 said:Kirijax said:I think at this point the only thing Nadal fans have to look forward to is all the points Nadal will rack up over the second half of the season. So he'll probably end up around 5th or so and make the WTF. If he doesn't get injured as he usually does.
In spite of your outrageous optimism, Kirijax, I think we'll still be hoping for the USO.![]()
I'm trying to help my Nadal friends out a bit! You need some cheer!![]()
Moxie629 said:DarthFed said:Moxie629 said:And the big guns will almost surely have to get through him. Roger is playing confident and relaxed grass tennis. But if he gets to Murray, he will unlikely have the crowd support he had in 2012. Not that that really matters to Roger. But I think Andy has the chops to make it long, and I think that will get Roger. And if it's Novak in the final, he'll have to contend with a cheering section that could fit in a phone booth, once again, which doesn't suit him. I think Andy can take them both.
I'd expect Roger to have just as much crowd support as he did in 2012, possibly more. Why wouldn't he when you consider he is just older and Murray got the monkey off his back by winning Wimbledon. Face it, the Brits love him like he is one of their own!
If it shapes up it should be a heck of a match but Berd doo is a wild card in all this. Roger has dominated him twice this year but I still wouldn't call Berd an easy matchup and Fed is well aware that Tomas has won 2 straight matches at majors vs. him. Even if he just stretches Roger (or any of the next 2 opponents stretch him) that could hurt his chances in the semi.
Don't be expecting more crowd support, and I still stand by "not as much." In 2012, the Brits hadn't fully wrapped their arms around Andy, but after that runner-up speech, the Olympic gold, and the 2013 title, the floodgates opened. I'd wager that Roger could see his lowest support since facing Rafa in Spain. And you're making my point about Berdych...he doesn't have the best H2H v. Roger, but he troubles him in the big moments. And even a troublesome and long QF could influence Fed's SF.