Who will win Wimbledon 2013?

[Sundaymorningguy]

Well she is playing some bizarre clay court event after Wimbledon. She must be getting a nice appearance fee.

 

[kskate2]

I think these next 2 and half years are crucial for Serena in terms of getting the numbers she is looking to acheive, so she will have to be careful with her scheduling so she can be well rested and reduce risk of injury within that time span. Just because she can enter everything and more than likely win, it doesn't mean she should.

Serena has almost scheduled smart, don't think that is going to change all of a sudden. In fact she tends to take the end of the year off after the USO with the exception of the YEC.

Not a surprise. She hardly ever plays the fall indoor swing.

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Well she is playing some bizarre clay court event after Wimbledon. She must be getting a nice appearance fee.

I think she's staying in Europe to play this tournament in lieu of going to Stanford. And yes I'm sure a hefty appearance fee was involved.

 

[Calvy]

Well she is playing some bizarre clay court event after Wimbledon. She must be getting a nice appearance fee.

Now correct me if I'm wrong, she did play Stanford (hardcourt) the week after Wimbledon and then had the Olympics two weeks after that, and she handled that just fine.

 

[Sundaymorningguy]

Yeah, she handled those fine. I wasn't saying she didn't handle them fine. I was just saying it was bizarre she was playing a clay court event after Wimbledon.

 

[Correspondent Kiu]

I still haven't picked, what's that dead-line again?

 

[tented]

If she stays healthy, it would appear that Serena is going to win everything she enters until she retires. She's the WTA's one-person Federer/Nadal.

I don't think she'll win everything she enters. If anything I could see her losing to a lower-ranked player that's on fire when Serena is doing a walkabout in the early rounds. Once she gets to the QF, it will be very difficult to stop her.

The current crop of top players don't have enough weapons, confidence or mental consistency. Vika is probably the closest, but her serve is a serious liability. Petra and Li have the weapons, but not the consistency or the belief. Maria is Maria. Aga, Sara, Angie and Kirilenko don't have the weapons. Stosur has fallen out of the top ten w/ her FO loss and isn't really good on grass, but could challenge at the USO. In my eyes, Sveta is the only person on tour who can really trouble Serena consistently on any surface.

I was exaggerating, of course, but you have outlined beautifully the state of things.

 

[marciamillbanks23]

Is anyway putting any stock in the fact that Maria said she WANTS to meet Serena at Wimbledon this year? Can she pose a reasonable threat to Serena at the only major where she has beaten her in the past?

I still think Serena is the complete favorite if they do meet, but will the fact that Maria has beaten her here give her the extra confidence she would need to cause the upset?

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What I think is strange is how so few "journalists" have even mentioned why Sharapova won a couple of times way back in 2004. It's because Serena was still emotionally compromised by the death of her beloved sister AND at the same time was coming back from a long injury layoff as well. Serena has said she went thru a literal depression over her sister's death.

Again, it's downright weird the way people are crazily pretending Serena was at her best when nothing could have been farther from the truth! And the beatdowns Serena has meted out to Sharapova EVERY time for a DECADE since, show in stark relief just how flukish Sharapova winning back then was.

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If she stays healthy, it would appear that Serena is going to win everything she enters until she retires. She's the WTA's one-person Federer/Nadal.

I don't think she'll win everything she enters. If anything I could see her losing to a lower-ranked player that's on fire when Serena is doing a walkabout in the early rounds. Once she gets to the QF, it will be very difficult to stop her.

The current crop of top players don't have enough weapons, confidence or mental consistency. Vika is probably the closest, but her serve is a serious liability. Petra and Li have the weapons, but not the consistency or the belief. Maria is Maria. Aga, Sara, Angie and Kirilenko don't have the weapons. Stosur has fallen out of the top ten w/ her FO loss and isn't really good on grass, but could challenge at the USO. In my eyes, Sveta is the only person on tour who can really trouble Serena consistently on any surface.

I was exaggerating, of course, but you have outlined beautifully the state of things.

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I sincerely hope Serena does win everything she enters. After all she's been through and with all the hard work she's put in, she deserves to!

 

[ozza]

It's pretty tough to go against Serena here, the only real factor I can come up with is she actually comes in to Wimbledon having played 47 matches (compared to 32 last year as a comparsion), Serena hasn't played that much leading into Wimbledon pretty much ever. Will it effect her? Probably not. The odds give Serena a 63.29% chance of winning, I can't remember there being such a big favourite before a grand slam ever.

Having said all that I do hope someone else wins, not because I'm really anti-Serena, but I would just like to see someone end her dominant run and get a bit more competition at the top of the game. For me it would be perfect for womens tennis for Azarenka or Sharapova to beat Serena here.

 

[Calvy]

It's pretty tough to go against Serena here, the only real factor I can come up with is she actually comes in to Wimbledon having played 47 matches (compared to 32 last year as a comparsion), Serena hasn't played that much leading into Wimbledon pretty much ever. Will it effect her? Probably not. The odds give Serena a 63.29% chance of winning, I can't remember there being such a big favourite before a grand slam ever.

Having said all that I do hope someone else wins, not because I'm really anti-Serena, but I would just like to see someone end her dominant run and get a bit more competition at the top of the game. For me it would be perfect for womens tennis for Azarenka or Sharapova to beat Serena here.

Serena is in the best shape of her career, and as Martina N stated, "she has young legs, as she hasn't played a lot in her career."

A real rivalry for all sense and purposes would be great for womens tennis, but, having a very dominant player does not hamper the tour in the least. In fact, in other sports for instance, Tiger Woods, Michael Jordan and Usain bolt propelled their respective sports with their dominance, and Serena does the same for the WTA. She is currently the single most important player on the tour. You want her in a final, because she generates the highest interest both with fans and with television viewers.

Also, I find it interesting when Serena dominates, you see people saying they want someone to give her a run for her money, or someone beat her, yet, I don't recall those same sentiments when Justine was winning just about everything in 2007.

 

[Sundaymorningguy]

You know I want Serena to get the numbers, so I would rather see her get the slam victories now when everything is working well for her. It only gets tougher the older you get, and right now age isn't a factor for Serena eventually it will hit her. I think she is in a position to easily become the undisputed American champ and overtake everyone there. Depending on how well she maintains over the years Graf and Court aren't exactly unattainable goals to surpass. Her serve will always help guide her game.

I think Serena will play even more relaxed now that she has won the French Open.

 

[Calvy]

You know I want Serena to get the numbers, so I would rather see her get the slam victories now when everything is working well for her. It only gets tougher the older you get, and right now age isn't a factor for Serena eventually it will hit her. I think she is in a position to easily become the undisputed American champ and overtake everyone there. Depending on how well she maintains over the years Graf and Court aren't exactly unattainable goals to surpass. Her serve will always help guide her game.

I think Serena will play even more relaxed now that she has won the French Open.

I agree, and I think her two must wins for her have been accomplished, the USO and FO, and she should be much more relaxed in all majors that follow.

 

[Sundaymorningguy]

If she can get to 18 this year which is possible with 2 of her favorite slams around the corner, then Graf and Court numbers are certainly doable. I think her best years to make a push for her numbers are this year and 2014. I think 2015 is realistically when you could potentially see a slow down for Serena. I think she will still be a contender always, but I think it will only get harder 2015 and onward. Tennis is such a confidence game and right now is there anyone with higher confidence than Serena? I think summer 2012 was the turning point, and Serena is not looking back. She needed to be stopped when she was on a roll, and now that that hasn't happened Sharapova, Azarenka and all can only hope for a Serena crash at some point. Justine Henin of all people made this observation in Roland Garros 2013 stating to beat Serena you have to do it early. Serena realistically needed to be dealt the blow at Wimbledon 2012 for the doubt to start creeping in and nobody dealt her that blow.

 

[Calvy]

Serena admitted that during the whole Wimby 2012 s he was full of doubt, and wondered if she was ever going to win a slam again, and her matches were pretty much all tight battles at some point, especially Zheng and Shvedova.

Once she got through Wimby she calm down a lot until she got into the USO final.

 

[colleen66]

^ Not likely. I mean what else can she say? She will either meet Serena in the SF or the F depending on what side she falls on. I think she needs to try and restore her confidence because at this point it's mostly mental. Belief is the first part, then the execution.

The last 3 times they have played has shown that it is NOT mostly mental, imo. Maria has come out swinging and had a "plan". Each time she was simply out-played by a person who serves better, returns better, moves better and adjust to conditions better. While Serena does have a mental edge over Maria, she is simply a better player than Maria.

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If she stays healthy, it would appear that Serena is going to win everything she enters until she retires. She's the WTA's one-person Federer/Nadal.

I don't think she'll win everything she enters. If anything I could see her losing to a lower-ranked player that's on fire when Serena is doing a walkabout in the early rounds. Once she gets to the QF, it will be very difficult to stop her.

The current crop of top players don't have enough weapons, confidence or mental consistency. Vika is probably the closest, but her serve is a serious liability. Petra and Li have the weapons, but not the consistency or the belief. Maria is Maria. Aga, Sara, Angie and Kirilenko don't have the weapons. Stosur has fallen out of the top ten w/ her FO loss and isn't really good on grass, but could challenge at the USO. In my eyes, Sveta is the only person on tour who can really trouble Serena consistently on any surface.

Sveta has been a three time single Quarter-finalist at Wimbledon; the last time in 2007 if I am not mistaken. I see her best result on the hard-courts, not so much on grass.

 

[tented]

If she stays healthy, it would appear that Serena is going to win everything she enters until she retires. She's the WTA's one-person Federer/Nadal.

I don't think she'll win everything she enters. If anything I could see her losing to a lower-ranked player that's on fire when Serena is doing a walkabout in the early rounds. Once she gets to the QF, it will be very difficult to stop her.

The current crop of top players don't have enough weapons, confidence or mental consistency. Vika is probably the closest, but her serve is a serious liability. Petra and Li have the weapons, but not the consistency or the belief. Maria is Maria. Aga, Sara, Angie and Kirilenko don't have the weapons. Stosur has fallen out of the top ten w/ her FO loss and isn't really good on grass, but could challenge at the USO. In my eyes, Sveta is the only person on tour who can really trouble Serena consistently on any surface.

I was exaggerating, of course, but you have outlined beautifully the state of things.

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I sincerely hope Serena does win everything she enters. After all she's been through and with all the hard work she's put in, she deserves to!

Welcome to the Tennis Frontier message boards, marciamillbanks23!

 

[kskate2]

The draw is out. Cast your votes if you haven't already. Maria falls on Vika's side of the draw this time.

http://www.tennisfrontier.com/forum/showthread.php?tid=444

 

[Correspondent Kiu]

I am going to cheat and vote right before closing!

 

[MargaretMcAleer]

Serena to win her 17th GS title at Wimbledon.

 

[rugged]

Is anyway putting any stock in the fact that Maria said she WANTS to meet Serena at Wimbledon this year? Can she pose a reasonable threat to Serena at the only major where she has beaten her in the past?

I still think Serena is the complete favorite if they do meet, but will the fact that Maria has beaten her here give her the extra confidence she would need to cause the upset?

Well if Maria is saying she would like to meet Serena in the finals, it is so she can get the ranking points that go to the loser. Maria knows what happened at the Olympics (held on Centre Court at Wimby (6-0,6-1)), and knows it can very well happen again. Serena has MAULED her like a pitbull over an over again. But more than the Olympics or anywhere else - Serena would love to have her on Centre Court, Wimby, in a final. In that situation, I don't know that Maria would even win one game.

 

[10isfan]

I hope it is not a Serena vs Pova final. What a bore that would be. Vika or Petra would provide a more competitive match for the viewers. Too bad these two meet in the quarters. If Pova did not have such an easy draw, I would have predicted her exit before the semis. However, things being the way they are, Pova should make the semis.