Kvitova played well at the end of last year and is playing well now. She's one of the ladies that it scares me to see Serena play. She hasn't beaten her yet, but she's been close. Her game is so massive. If she plays a cleaner game than she has in the past, she can beat Serena.
But Serena is still the favorite for this title. She's won it 5 times before she won 4 anywhere else. So technically it's her best slam.
Vika has definitely shown that this is her best slam, nearly beating Serena twice back in 2009 and 2010 before winning the last two years. And she's still the only one keeping it real close with Serena. So I think she definitely has to be seen as your second favorite. Though she's more vulnerable to lose before the final than Serena I think. Assuming Serena stays healthy (her early losses the last two years were at least somewhat because of injury.)
With Maria just coming back from injury, I'm not inclined to think she'll be in the final. But because of the rest the recovery hopefully brought her she could certainly make it to the semis because against the rest of the field outside Serena and Vika she is just so difficult to beat. But right now, I'd put Kviotva up there with these three women and perhaps ahead of Maria in terms of contenders for this particular slam. Just because she's been playing really well since the US Open last year.
I guess since she's been to the final twice you gotta talk about Li. But against Serena and Vika, I just don't trust her. But, we all know that if she can keep her demons down, she can be down right amazing. Some of her little runs she gets on not even Serena can hang with. But we'll see.
It's Serena's to lose.