brokenshoelace
Grand Slam Champion
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Moxie629 said:I was following the argument in the Wimbledon Preview Talk thread, which started with Darth stating (once again) that Roger never should have lost the 2008 final to Rafa. He mentioned along the course of the conversation that Roger was the clear favorite, which Broken disputed. My memory also was that there was a lot of discussion that Rafa would get it done that year.
Here is a link to historical odds. They list 2.00 for Rafa v. 1.75 for Roger. I think that's pretty close.
Also, The Guardian article after the semis, which states: "While Federer's progress to the second Sunday has been serene, however - he has yet to drop a set - overcoming the final hurdle promises to be a whole lot more difficult. Blocking his path is the muscular form of Rafael Nadal, Federer's conqueror in the recent French Open final and the man tipped by many to end his championship hegemony."
Rather than rely on dueling memories, I thought I would offer some actual context from the time before that final was played. While ending Roger's run of 65 match wins on grass was note-worthy, it was not unforeseen that Rafa had a good chance of doing it, so that doesn't quite rise to the level of "upset," or, perhaps, depending on how one defines "upset." In any case, there is nothing but fannishness in saying that Federer never "should" have lost to Nadal in that match. Rafa was the better player in that period of time. And reading back historically, Roger was actually playing very well on grass, so it isn't just that he was generally crap that first half of 2008.
We don't have to start this conversation all over again, but I thought I should put this post where it belongs, respecting the other thread.
Thought so. Cheers.