To add a different insight here, I am going to turn these women's singles slam careers upside down and inside out and look at the underbelly as well as the glory. It makes no sense to look at the wins outside of any context of losses acrued to get them to get a better idea of their career long patterns and consistency levels. No statistic in this post includes any match outside of the singles Australian, French, Wimbledon, or US championship results.
Evert entered 56 majors between 1971-1989 (19 years) and won 18 with an 89% win/loss match ratio. That means she won 32.1 % of those 56 and reached the finals 60.7% of the time with a finals conversion rate of 52.9 %. Evert reached the semifinals 92.9% of the time she entered a slam with a SF conversion rate of 65.4% and the QFs 96.4% with a QF conversion rate of 96.2%
Chris's underbelly: I am just putting aside what happens in the fourth round, and looking downwards now, Evert lost in Rds 1, 2, or 3 of a major 3.6% of the time she played one, with no 1st Rd losses, no 2nd Rd losses and 2 Rd 3 losses( Jordan and Sanchez) .
Navratilova entered 67 majors between 1973-2004 (30 yr span w/ 8 yr sabbatical 1995-2003 included. She played in 23 separate yrs ) and won 18 with an 86% win/loss match ratio. That means she won 26.9 % of those 67 and reached the finals 47.8% of the time with a finals conversion rate of 56.3 %. Martina reached the semifinals 65.7% of the time she entered a slam with a SF conversion rate of 72.7% and the QFs 79.1% with a QF conversion rate of 83.0%
Navratilova's underbelly: I am just putting aside what happens in the fourth round, and looking downwards now, Martina lost in Rds 1, 2, or 3 of a major 13.4% of the time she played one, with 5 1st Rd losses, 2 2nd Rd losses and 2 Rd 3 losses.
Steffi entered the main draw in 54 slams between 1983-1999 (17 years) and won 22 with a 90% win/loss match ratio . She won 40.7% of the major championships she entered and reached the finals of 30 slams, or 55.6% of the slams she entered. Finals conversion rate is 73% . 66% of the time she was a semifinalist. Her semifinal conversion rate is 81.1%. 74.1% of the time Steffi reached the QFs with a QF conversion rate of 88.1%
Steffi's underbelly: I am just putting aside what happens in the fourth round, and looking downwards now, Graf lost in Rds 1, 2, or 3 of a major 13% of the time she played one, with 3 1st Rd losses, 1 2nd Rd losses and 3 Rd 3 losses .
Serena entered 81 majors between 1998-2022 (25 years) and won 23 with an 87% win/loss match ratio. That means she won 28.4 % of those 81 and reached the finals 32 times or 40.7% of the time for a finals conversion rate of 71.9%. Serena reached the semifinals 49.4% of the time she entered a slam with a semifinal conversion rate of 82.5% . She reached the QFs 66.7% of the time with a 74.1% QF conversion rate.
Serena's underbelly: I am just putting aside what happens in the fourth round, and looking downwards now, Serena lost in Rds 1, 2, or 3 of a major 21% of the time she played one, with 2 1st Rd losses, 3 2nd Rd losses and 11 Rd 3 losses
Slam Career win/loss % 1. Graf 90% 2. Evert 89% 3. Serena 87% 4. Martina 86%
% of majors champ won 1. Graf 40.7% 2. Evert 32.1% 3. Martina 29.9% 4. Serena 28.4%
% of majors reached final 1. Evert 60.7% 2. Graf 55.6% 3. Martina 47.8% 4. Serena 40%
Slam finals conversion 1. Graf 73.1% 2.Serena 71.9% 3. Martina 56.3% 4. Evert 52.9%
% of major reached SF's 1. Evert 92.9% 2. Graf 66% 3. Martina 65.7% 4. Serena 49.4%
Semifinals conversion 1.Serena 82.5% 2. Graf 81.1% 3. Martina 72.7% 4. Evert 65.4%
% of major Reached QF's 1. Evert 96.4% 2. Martina 79.1% 3. Graf 74.1% 4. Serena 66.7%
QFinals conversion rate 1. Evert 96.2 2. Graf 88.1% 3. Martina 83% 4.Serena 74.1%
* % of slam losses - Rds1-3 1.Evert 3.6% 2. Graf 13% 3. Martina 13.4% 4. Serena 21%
*Here a low number is a better number
. Now I have yet to use the word 'upset' because that involves more defining. You can define an 'upset' as failing to meet your 'seeding' If you are ranked in the top 4 seeds, then you should reach the semifinal round to uphold your seeding. Or you can define an upset as losing to an opponent seeded lower than you are. If you are ranked # 8 in the tournament, and lose to someone ranked # 16, then you have been upset in the tournament.