Basically, I don't think we differ much at all general.
In the second paragraph of my post, I basically said that he is losing to players just above Challenger level,
that if he doesn't make changes we should bid him farewell, and he can only change if he wants to change.
This speaks to his lower playing level and his apparent lack of motivation.
The rest of my post compared his situation to that of Sampras. Now Nadal is #5, not #17, like Sampras was, but quibbling about difference in ranking or perceived ranking is pointless.
Nadal can go down to #10, or #17 at this rate like Sampras, or #50; the question is, will he fight back like Sampras did? Or will he meekly step away from the game?
My latter statements about Nadal going out fighting, winning at RG, are based on him wanting to change. No changes, and yes, he will have trouble winning 250 events.
Mind you, I think Rafa's path to better play may be more difficult than Sampras'.
Nadal's game relies on him being fit and strong to engage his topspin game, and that's going to take a lot of work.
If and once he gets that back, his confidence will come back when he makes his shots,. doesn't get tired after a set or two, and wins matches he has been losing, and raises his level enough to challenge the better and best players.
But again, he has to want it badly enough. Otherwise, forget any heroic comeback scenarios.
Looking at things now, it's hard for many to be optimistic, that's why I related Pete's story.
We will see what happens. I know life does not always have fairy tale happy endings.
Anyway, I think my previous post said everything I wanted to say about this topic.
Respectfully,
masterclass