Broken_Shoelace said:
This, as well as your above post, essentially suggest that you can't do something until you actually do it. If after the 2007 Wimbledon final, someone said Nadal can't beat Federer at Wimbledon, and someone took umbrage with it, would they have been right?
Being able to do something and doing it are two different things. Novak CAN beat Nadal in Paris. He's done it everywhere else and he's done it on clay, including Monte Carlo, where Nadal was even more invincible than he was in Paris. So yeah, while he wouldn't be favored if he is to play Nadal at Roland Garros, and it's certainly an uphill battle, all evidence suggests that he CAN do it. He's beaten him at all other 3 slams, and 3 clay masters. This is indication that he CAN do it. Denying it based on the fact that he hasn't done it yet is backwards logic. Because "can do it" and "has done it" are two different issues. Your argument backs up the latter, not the former.
No, this is wrong thinking. Beating Rafa at RG is the hardest ask in tennis. Novak has taken five swipes at it - and not done it. Winning in MC, Madrid or Rome against Rafa ISN'T an indication that he CAN win in Paris. It never has been, and so can't be used as proof.
Now, I don't mind people thinking he can, because of course we won't know until he loses against him again (or even beats him) but I do mind lazy terminology, and saying it's "delusional" to think that Novak can't beat Rafa in Paris is silly. Is it equally delusional to think that Roger can't beat Rafa in Paris? He reached the final in 2011 with a much greater pedigree than Novak, and faced a waaaay below confidence Rafa...