Nadal turns 28 at FO 14. How many more slams will he win?

S

StantheMan

Moxie629 said:
:lolz: Perhaps OP should keep trying to get a different answer.

The OP, unlike many Nadul fans, respects the fact that others are entitled to their own opinions. The OP also understands that just because another poster does not happen to agree with him, it doesn't make the other poster a troll. The OP also appreciates and encourages a lively and intelligent debate.
 

Kieran

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StanTheMan,

Did you used to post on tennis.com?
 

Federberg

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nehmeth said:
I say 4.

But for the back going out on him, he may well have tied Sampras at 14 last Sunday. Pretty sure he will reach 14 at the French. I'd like to see him tie Fed wherever Fed ends his slam count. That will make the Sampras/Fed "goat debates" of 2008 look like tea time with a bunch of little girls and their dolls. :D

Haha! True dat!

For my part.. if they end up tied.. I would concede that Rafa is the better player. But I would still have to debate the issue of who was the greater player. Let me clarify.. I use "better" to capture factors relative to one another... H2H being the most significant issue, albeit not the only one. But "greater" I use to capture factors relating to records and achievements... 5 consecutives at (in my opinion) the two most important slams, time at number 1 etc..

But it would be close indeed. Not sure I would really want to participate in that discussion. I'm not much for backing down.. and I know others on this board are just as stubborn :lolz:
 
S

StantheMan

Kieran said:
StanTheMan,

Did you used to post on tennis.com?

Why do you ask that? Was there a poster on tennis.com who was a fan of DA MAN like me?
;)
 

Kieran

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StantheMan said:
Kieran said:
StanTheMan,

Did you used to post on tennis.com?

Why do you ask that? Was there a poster on tennis.com who was a fan of DA MAN like me?
;)

Come on, you're not a fan of Stan, you're just a guy who hates Rafa.

I ask because you greeted Broken on another thread, and named some old names from tennis.com...
 
S

StantheMan

Kieran said:
StantheMan said:
Kieran said:
StanTheMan,

Did you used to post on tennis.com?

Why do you ask that? Was there a poster on tennis.com who was a fan of DA MAN like me?
;)

Come on, you're not a fan of Stan, you're just a guy who hates Rafa.

I ask because you greeted Broken on another thread, and named some old names from tennis.com...



I'm sure most here have been on tennis.com one time or another.
 

El Dude

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nehmeth said:
But for the back going out on him, he may well have tied Sampras at 14 last Sunday. Pretty sure he will reach 14 at the French. I'd like to see him tie Fed wherever Fed ends his slam count. That will make the Sampras/Fed "goat debates" of 2008 look like tea time with a bunch of little girls and their dolls. :D

I think if they tie most will give the GOAT crown to Rafa, although I suppose there will always be the weeks at #1 to Roger's advantage.

federberg said:
For my part.. if they end up tied.. I would concede that Rafa is the better player. But I would still have to debate the issue of who was the greater player. Let me clarify.. I use "better" to capture factors relative to one another... H2H being the most significant issue, albeit not the only one. But "greater" I use to capture factors relating to records and achievements... 5 consecutives at (in my opinion) the two most important slams, time at number 1 etc..

But it would be close indeed. Not sure I would really want to participate in that discussion. I'm not much for backing down.. and I know others on this board are just as stubborn :lolz:

Interesting point. I would change it slightly and say that it seems clear that Rafa is overall the greater player - not only is he dominant over Roger, but he's been more dominant against his opponents than Roger has, especially vs. other elites - but at this point Roger still has the better career. In other words, his overall accomplishments are still head and shoulders above Rafa.

In other words, "greater player" and "better career" are not the same thing. Roger's career is still significantly better than Rafa's and may always be so, mainly because he was more consistent, struggled with less injury, and had that lovely six year peak (2004-09) that Rafa will never have. But Rafa is the superior player.
 

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El Dude said:
nehmeth said:
But for the back going out on him, he may well have tied Sampras at 14 last Sunday. Pretty sure he will reach 14 at the French. I'd like to see him tie Fed wherever Fed ends his slam count. That will make the Sampras/Fed "goat debates" of 2008 look like tea time with a bunch of little girls and their dolls. :D

I think if they tie most will give the GOAT crown to Rafa, although I suppose there will always be the weeks at #1 to Roger's advantage.

federberg said:
For my part.. if they end up tied.. I would concede that Rafa is the better player. But I would still have to debate the issue of who was the greater player. Let me clarify.. I use "better" to capture factors relative to one another... H2H being the most significant issue, albeit not the only one. But "greater" I use to capture factors relating to records and achievements... 5 consecutives at (in my opinion) the two most important slams, time at number 1 etc..

But it would be close indeed. Not sure I would really want to participate in that discussion. I'm not much for backing down.. and I know others on this board are just as stubborn :lolz:

Interesting point. I would change it slightly and say that it seems clear that Rafa is overall the greater player - not only is he dominant over Roger, but he's been more dominant against his opponents than Roger has, especially vs. other elites - but at this point Roger still has the better career. In other words, his overall accomplishments are still head and shoulders above Rafa.

In other words, "greater player" and "better career" are not the same thing. Roger's career is still significantly better than Rafa's and may always be so, mainly because he was more consistent, struggled with less injury, and had that lovely six year peak (2004-09) that Rafa will never have. But Rafa is the superior player.

That looks reasonable
 

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DarthFed said:
Moxie629 said:
However, Rafa has always tracked Federer on the Slam count, and he is still on the same track, by age.

Roger had 15 just before turning 28. Rafa basically has a chance (and of course an excellent chance) of getting #14 as he turns 28.

The difference is that Federer had great younger players nipping at his heels as he aged. Rafa likely won't have anything similar as he ages. He does have to contend with great players, but there are no new players on the horizon who will prevent him from getting grandslams; it's all up to the usual suspects, Novak, Murray, and Roger.
 

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bobvance said:
DarthFed said:
Moxie629 said:
However, Rafa has always tracked Federer on the Slam count, and he is still on the same track, by age.

Roger had 15 just before turning 28. Rafa basically has a chance (and of course an excellent chance) of getting #14 as he turns 28.

The difference is that Federer had great younger players nipping at his heels as he aged. Rafa likely won't have anything similar as he ages. He does have to contend with great players, but there are no new players on the horizon who will prevent him from getting grandslams; it's all up to the usual suspects, Novak, Murray, and Roger.

A bit harsh..
I'm sure Rafa fans might say that Roger didn't have Nole and Murray to contend with in his prime. I think it's a facile argument to be honest, but that's what would be said. Besides.. judging the ability of a player purely on grandslams is highly suspect in my view. When Becker won his first slam was he any less dangerous than a more established player? I don't think so..
Any win Rafa has going forward has to be accepted purely on it's merits. No qualifications.. or dare I say it.. asterisks :blush:
 

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federberg said:
bobvance said:
DarthFed said:
Moxie629 said:
However, Rafa has always tracked Federer on the Slam count, and he is still on the same track, by age.

Roger had 15 just before turning 28. Rafa basically has a chance (and of course an excellent chance) of getting #14 as he turns 28.

The difference is that Federer had great younger players nipping at his heels as he aged. Rafa likely won't have anything similar as he ages. He does have to contend with great players, but there are no new players on the horizon who will prevent him from getting grandslams; it's all up to the usual suspects, Novak, Murray, and Roger.

A bit harsh..
I'm sure Rafa fans might say that Roger didn't have Nole and Murray to contend with in his prime. I think it's a facile argument to be honest, but that's what would be said. Besides.. judging the ability of a player purely on grandslams is highly suspect in my view. When Becker won his first slam was he any less dangerous than a more established player? I don't think so..
Any win Rafa has going forward has to be accepted purely on it's merits. No qualifications.. or dare I say it.. asterisks :blush:

I actually wasn't speaking about the merits of any grandslam Rafa wins from here on out. I was just implying that he has a pretty good chance to win more based on the absence of serious younger players.
 

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bobvance said:
federberg said:
bobvance said:
DarthFed said:
Moxie629 said:
However, Rafa has always tracked Federer on the Slam count, and he is still on the same track, by age.

Roger had 15 just before turning 28. Rafa basically has a chance (and of course an excellent chance) of getting #14 as he turns 28.

The difference is that Federer had great younger players nipping at his heels as he aged. Rafa likely won't have anything similar as he ages. He does have to contend with great players, but there are no new players on the horizon who will prevent him from getting grandslams; it's all up to the usual suspects, Novak, Murray, and Roger.

A bit harsh..
I'm sure Rafa fans might say that Roger didn't have Nole and Murray to contend with in his prime. I think it's a facile argument to be honest, but that's what would be said. Besides.. judging the ability of a player purely on grandslams is highly suspect in my view. When Becker won his first slam was he any less dangerous than a more established player? I don't think so..
Any win Rafa has going forward has to be accepted purely on it's merits. No qualifications.. or dare I say it.. asterisks :blush:

I actually wasn't speaking about the merits of any grandslam Rafa wins from here on out. I was just implying that he has a pretty good chance to win more based on the absence of serious younger players.

Ah! My bad...
 

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I say two. Rafa couldn't have another great season after 2008 and 2010, so I say this will be a hard season for him. I say Nole will win RG. he was so motivated after the USO disappointment, he was unbeaten for the rest of the season. And I believe the AO disappoint has the same result. Yes, Nadal has lost only one match at RG but Nole has all the tools to beat Rafa, even on clay, like at Rafa's beloved MC last year. And if Rafa doesn't win RG, how could he win on his worse surface.

My bold prediction is he'll have a slamless season. But he'll win later two slams, at least one of those at RG.
 

Front242

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William Hill.com have a Grand Slam special with these odds at the moment:

Grand Slam Specials - How many of the Grand Slams in 2014 will either Murray, Djokovic or Nadal win?

11/10 Three

11/10 Two

11/2 One

16/1 None
 

Front242

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Nice of them to count Fed out of the mix completely. I guess that's where the 16/1 none comes in if they expect him to win the next 3 :cool:
 

Front242

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2014 Specials - 2014 ATP Year End Number 1

4/5 Rafael Nadal

5/4 Novak Djokovic

12/1 Stanislas Wawrinka

14/1 Andy Murray

20/1 Juan Martin Del Potro

33/1 Roger Federer

66/1 Tomas Berdych

80/1 David Ferrer

100/1 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga/Richard Gasquet/Milos Raonic
 

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I can honesty say I predicted Fed would end up with 17 after his '10 AO. It looked far too skeptical at the time and probably a little wishful thinking right before his last.

The last prediction I gave for Rafa was 15 after snagging #9 at the '10 USO and completing the career slam.

Looks skeptical now, but will stick with 17-15 in the slam race.

I'll also go out on a limb and say he wont win RG this year. Still a significant fave, but think the law of averages kicks in and Nole finally gets him.
 

calitennis127

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StantheMan said:
This is indeed an important question for Rafa in the GOAT debate.

Consider these daunting facts:

1. In the last 30 years only 15 of 121 GSs have been won by players aged 28 years or older.
2. Since 1984 only 4 players ie Agassi, Sampras, Lendl and Federer have been able to win more than.
1 after age 28.


http://www.forbes.com/sites/allenstjohn/2014/01/26/did-rafael-nadals-australian-open-loss-cost-him-a-chance-to-top-roger-federer-as-the-greatest-of-all-time/


My guesstimate is that Nadal probably only has at most 2 or 3 more GSs in him. Maybe that is why he was crying after his loss in the AO 2014 final. Nadal probably realizes that his chance to equal or beat Roger's slam record flew out the window last weekend.

I have been known as the foremost critic of Nadal's game on this board for years, but you are just a complete tool.

It really is that simple. You are bandwagoning on a player who really isn't all that interesting and bashing Nadal in the dumbest ways possible.

Could you please shut up?