Miami Open - ATP : Predictions and bets

[Bert]

The list of matches for today :

Will come back later with my picks, have to figure out first how to make money from this

 

[Bert]

In my opinion, there are only few games to bet on : Troicki-Goffin, Gasquet-Paire and Cilic-Simon. For all other matches, I cannot really imagine the underdog winning, but the odds are to low to pick the favourite.
Troicki - Goffin : if we look at this season records, Troicki is 14W/7L winning Sydney tournament but his only significant win is Dimitrov. He defeated Johnson but this was the first week of January, all the other wins are people outside Top30. Goffin's records : 15W/5L but wins against Wawrinka, Cilic last week, Thiem, Coric. He made me a really good impression last week and I think he will win this one.
Gasquet-Paire : Paire is the guy you don't want to bet on because he can play great tennis... or lose against anyone. Gasquet plays good, I think he will win but the odds are too low to bet on him. If Paire is in a good day, he can definitely win, it looks too risky to me but someone may take it.
Cilic - Simon : Simon leads 4-1, everytime it went to the decider set. Simon hasn't played really well so far, but I think he can really upset Cilic with his game style.

For my bets, I put 10$ on Goffin, and 3$ on Simon.

 

[Billie]

Thanks for the welcome @Bert

I'll put $15 on Goffin, $10 on Verdasco, $5 on Simon and $5 on Berdych.

 

[britbox]

$20 on Ferrer

 

[Bert]

Last round results :

@britbox = -20 + 72.9 = 52.9 $ (3/6)
@Moxie = 60.85 $ (4/11)
@Bert = +3.5 + 3.78 +111.5 = 118.78 $ (8/9)
@Billie = +4.25 - 10 + 6.3 + 1.25 +100 = 101.8 $ (3/4)

Good start Billie !

 

[britbox]

Got a bit of catching up to do! Forced a couple of these bets... need to be a bit less flippant on the run in... keep looking over your shoulder Bert mate!

 

[Bert]

Next round ! Be careful guys, Britbox may play some of his trick shots to come back and play the underdogs

I will bet 10$ on Kuznetsov. He had some good wins this season, just beat Wawrinka, reached his best ranking, full confidence.

 

[britbox]

$25 on Raonic, $20 on Monfils, $7 on Murray

 

[Billie]

Thanks Bert, I made $1.8

Next time when you see me pick Tabasco, slap me immediately He simply lost that match.

I am late, but if it is not too late for the 2 matches that didn't start, I'd like to bet $10 on Raonic and $10 on Kukushkin. If it is late, never mind.

 

[Bert]

Thanks Bert, I made $1.8

Next time when you see me pick Tabasco, slap me immediately He simply lost that match.

I am late, but if it is not too late for the 2 matches that didn't start, I'd like to bet $10 on Raonic and $10 on Kukushkin. If it is late, never mind.

All good Billie ! You're in for this one ! Good luck

 

[Moxie]

I didn't play on Easter, and didn't really feel it today, but I'll try to find some inspiration tomorrow. Good luck, all!

 

[Billie]

Well I'll have to pick something now, without knowing the odds.

I'll put $10 on Ritchie, $10 on Gael. And $10 on Roberto Bautista Agut. Risking a bit here, but...

Good luck all!!!

 

[Bert]

Last round results :

@britbox = +9 + 6.2 - 7 + 52.9 = 61.1 $ (5/9)
@Moxie = 60.85 $ (4/11)
@Bert = +5.6 + 118.78 = 124.38 $ (9/10)
@Billie = +3.6 - 10 +101.8 = 95.4 $ (4/6)

Britbox has started his come back. Billie goes in the red for the first time while Moxie was busy chasing chocolate eggs... Final sprint is launched

 

[Bert]

Today's round :

Interesting that Gasquet won 7 out of his 14 matches against Berdych. If I had to guess I would have given more to Berdych... one reason to stay away from this one.

I will go with the Frenchies today. 10 $ on Monfils and 5$ on Pouille. Pouille is a risky one, I think he definitely can take one set, maybe a bit short to win but it worth the bet.

 

[britbox]

$60 on Goffin.

 

[Bert]

$60 on Goffin.

It is becoming serious

 

[masterclass]

All In (100$) on the ATP's choice vs. the world #1.

Respectfully,
masterclass

 

[britbox]

All In (100$) on the ATP's choice vs. the world #1.

Respectfully,
masterclass

BOOM! Masterclass looking to hit one out of the park and take title!!

 

[britbox]

^ I'd possibly be more tempted on clay... but also enjoying Thiem's rise.

 

[Bert]

BOOM! Masterclass looking to hit one out of the park and take title!!

Testosterone level is at the max
If this one pass, we will have to rename this friendly comp, "masterclass betting comp" !

Thiem - Djokovic will be good to watch.