We agree here. But you know what? I’ve been saying for a few years now that I’m ready for the next big stage in tennis. The Big 3 are bloated. Their records are ridiculous, including Rafa’s 14. In another sport there’d be calls for the FBI to look at it. It’s time for something new and I don’t mind that…
I know you're Irish so think that baseball is just bloated rounders (or worse yet, some sort of blasphemous cousin to cricket), but what you say here reminds me of baseball during the 90s-00s: due to various factors, perhaps especially steroids, offensive numbers were bloated, which has skewed baseball records in general. In fact, baseball is a good example--with such a long history of statistical record keeping--of how numbers oscillate over time.
For example, Carl Yastrzemski won the AL batting title in 1968 by hitting .301. That's the lowest league-leading batting average in baseball history. There's one season in the 20s or 30s in which the
league average was around .301. Or to take a random high offense year, in 1998 there were
47 players who hit as high or higher as Yaz did in '68. Meaning, the balance between hitting and pitching oscillates over the years, so you can't compare, say, a .300 BA or 30 home runs in the mid-60s with the mid-90s. This is why stat-nerds have come up with stats that account for such contextual differences.
I think the same is true for the Big Three. You can't really say "Borg never won more than two Slams in any year, so isn't in the same league as the Big Three, who have all won three Slams in a year at least once." Some might look at their Slam count and compare it to McEnroe's 7 or Borg's 11 and say, "See? The big three are three times better than Mac was, and twice as good as Borg." That is, of course, absurd.
The Big Three's Slams and big title counts are bloated for a variety of reasons.
Some of that is due to their incredible talent. All three, in my view, are as good as any who have ever played - maybe a hair better. But I think you could make an argument that Borg and Mac, at least, and Laver too, were just as dominant at their best (not to mention Gonzales, Tilden, and even the criminally underrated Lendl and, of course, Sampras). And of course even with this, I'm speaking of "dominance" as relative to the field they played in. But the tennis of Laver's era was different than that of Borg and McEnroe, which was different from the Big Three - not just the style of play, but the weight and value of different tournaments, and what statistics meant in any given year. Even year to year there are differences, but the changes become more evident over longer periods of time.
You mention the 90s as being more competitive than the early 00s. I'm not sure I entirely agree with this, as I think at least from about the mid-90s to the rise of Fedal, you have one of the lowest talent eras in the ATP era. Even in the early 90s, you not only had a rising Sampras and Agassi, but Courier's brief peak, a still prime Edberg and Becker, and the last vestiges of Lendl. That all collapsed by 1996 few years, with only Sampras and Agassi, and the last gasp of Becker, holding the appellation of "prime all-time great." I suppose the more equalized field of the late 90s made it very competitive - as once Sampras started slipping, any big tournament was up for grabs.
To me what sets the Big Three era apart than others is their incredible longevity. Yes, the peak talent of each was as good as anyone (if not slightly better), but it is the length of their shared reign. I mean, we're talking 2004 to now, when one of the three was the best player on tour. Or look at Slam-winning spans of 6+ Slam winners, in order of chronological birth year:
Rosewall: 1953-72 (20 years)
Emerson: 1961-67 (7 years)
Laver: 1960-69 (10 years)
Newcombe: 1967-75 (9 years)
Connors: 1974-83 (10 years)
Borg: 1974-81 (8 years)
McEnroe: 1979-84 (6 years)
Lendl: 1984-90 (7 years)
Wilander: 1982-88 (7 years)
Edberg: 1985-92 (8 years)
Becker: 1985-96 (12 years)
Agassi: 1992-2003 (12 years)
Sampras: 1990-2002 (13 years)
Roger: 2003-18 (16 years)
Rafa: 2005-22 (18 years)
Novak: 2008-23 (16 years)
It is interesting to note that Becker, Agassi, and Sampras actually had longer Slam-winning spans than any of the guys before them, going back to the incredible Ken Rosewall. But between Borg and Edberg, it really dipped.
The only blip in Big Three hegemony since 2004 was 2016, when Andy edged out Novak - but it could still be argued that Novak was still the best player on tour, but Andy just won the #1 through that crazy run in the second half and Novak choking.
Alcaraz may finally be ending it this year. I think that both Novak and Nadal were still better than him last year, rankings be damned. But this year, Alcaraz might get the edge over Novak. So maybe we can finally say the Big Three hegemony is broken.