^ I agree with absolutely all of this,
@mightyjeditribble, including how you see Thiem and Zverev, though Thiem did reach the semis at RG last year. Sasha has gone from a skunking by Rafa at MC to a trophy in Rome, which is amazing, but I'm not sure I'm seeing him zooming to the clay Major. Djokovic is the bookies' universal 2nd choice, but that's slightly unimaginative, and not reflective of his year. He had 2 good days in Rome, then a bad one; he's completely re-jiggered his team, and even down to changing his clothing sponsor. It's hard to see him as more than a work-in-progress/Spring-cleaning version of himself, rather than hefting the Coupe des Mousquetaires at the end of RG. Murray and Wawrinka are huge question marks...could go deep, could bail early. I know that Stan is more likely, in his unreliability, but if Andy stays in, I'd give him a chance over the newbies. It will all become a little clearer when we see the draw, I guess.