Front242 said:
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Bookies have Djokovic as top favourite, which imo is ridiculous. I'd put Murray there.
Totally agree with you about the Fed-Murray final but I think you are a bit harsh here. To be fair to the bookies (or rather the people who put money on Djokovic and as a result making him the favorite) this upcoming Wimbledon is going to be as open a slam as it possibly gets these days. There is just no clear favorite. Question marks over everybody. Djokovic always struggled on grass, especially with his movement. Murray comes back after an injury and while he might be physically fresh it remains to be seen how his back will respond to best of 5. And there is still the pressure he faces there, all the expectations on his shoulders, now more than ever after winning his first major.
Nadal may have all the confidence in the world going into SW19 but he looked more and more tired the last couple of weeks and is yet to pull off a convincing performance on grass since beating Del Potro in the 4th round of 2011. Plus he's very prone to upsets in the first week of the tournament. Being seeded as #5 surely won't increase his chances. Finally Roger who struggled all season and although still easily capable of winning another trophy, he might as well get blown away by Tsonga or Berdych before the semis even start.
As a result, when there is no favorite, people (especially the ones who bet for fun) will put their money on the world #1 which still (rightly) is Djokovic. Whether or not this reflects the true 'power rankings' as we are heading into the tournament, is a different question altogether. But Djoker being #1 favorite is the logical choice at the moment. You might think that's ridiculous given that he made the finals only once in his career, fair enough, but I don't see how you can justify putting someone else above him. Murray might be the better grass court player on paper but that's exactly the problem...on paper. At this moment in time I just can't see Murray being the #1 favorite going into any slam.