tented said:
Denisovich said:
tented said:
Denisovich said:
mrzz said:
It is very hard to think that this trend will continue, but... there must a lot of people out there dying to play Nadal right now.
I agree. If it does continue though, I bet every single player in the top 100 is hoping to be in Nadals part of the draw at the French. Great opportunity to make some history. I bet old Roger is among them, finally gets a good opportunity to beat his nemesis. I mean if Ferrer and now even Almagro can beat Nadal, surely the fedster must have a shot? :snigger
That would be no. Match-up issues, headcase issues would prevent this. Even with Rafa in this state, he would be able to break down Fed's BH, run him around, and draw him off court to hit winning forehands all day.
I can
definitely envision him losing to Djokovic (of course), and perhaps Wawrinka (if the right set of factors were to converge), but not Roger, especially in a best-of-five set match. (And the last time Roger won one of those, on any surface, was Wimbledon '07 -- seven years ago. Enough said.)
Not sure. It's not that fed doesn't know how to play on clay. I've seen bad beat downs of Ferrer and Almagro in the past too. I think I'd be interested to see a match on clay between them for the first time in a very long time now.
I never wrote, nor implied (that I'm aware of) that Fed can't play on clay. He can. In fact, he's been the second best on that surface over the past decade. Sure, he's lost several clay-court finals to Rafa, yet these meant Roger first had to get through every other round in order to face Nadal. To paraphrase Roger from 4-5 or so years ago: "I don't have a clay problem. I have a Rafa problem." Perfectly put.
Also, you made your post specific to Roland Garros. That's a completely different setting, since it's best-of-five set matches, vs. a Masters, with best-of-three. It's easier to get on top of Rafa in the latter, while, to this day, he has still only lost ONE best-of-five set match on clay. I surprise myself every time I think of that.
Finally, Nadal and Federer played the Rome final just last year, so it hasn't been a "very long time now" -- maybe you tuned out, since it didn't involve Novak.
That's too tempting a discussion not to get into. History and motivation, as pointed above and in other posts, makes it very reasonable to believe that Nadal will be a completely different animal in RG. And I would not be surprised by seeing him regrouping just there, and play his usual absurd-self, or even win looking less than extraordinary, however...
I am sorry, but it is obvious that we'll have true battles at RG, and the outcome is (at least to some extent) up in the air.
Broken_shoelace predicted that Nadal could loose more on clay this season, I guess others saw it too (even I felt the Rio matches a little odd to say the least, but I am having a hard time to follow this season, anyway). So he is entering this month far below his usual average, form and results wise. People might look at his absurd record from previous years and say it does not matter, but I disagree. He overcame it all in the end, I know, but every year he had to fight, some times more, some times less, some times closer to defeat.
Lot of good players out there feeling confident, and,
even if they're wrong about that confidence, it helps.
I am sure every Nadal fan does not want him to play Djokovic right now, and would be worried by any in-form top player, in fact.
About Federer, think about all those matches were he came firing at the gates. Think 2011 with him breakinging to serve for the set at 5-2. Right
now, with this RF and this RN, a one set lead, even in a best of five, could be something.
All this to say one final thing. Nadal fans should be happy: he has a real chalenge in front of him. On clay, apart from Djokovic lately, it does not happen very often. No one celebrates that much the things you are
supposed to win.