Kirijax said:
Will have to disagree. Murray has his own set of abilities and they are great to watch. But the greatest difference between Murray and Djokovic is their mental strength at crunch time. This is what separates them, not their abilities but their mental fortitude.
I disagree with this.
Novak has a better (not faster, but better) first serve, better second serve, better return, better FH, better BH,
and he's a better athlete. So he's basically better than Andy, technically and athletically, in almost every department. That's a lot for Andy to be fighting against before you even get to the mental side, which all this other stuff contributes to.
So really, the question should not be 'Why doesn't Andy beat Novak more often?', but 'How has Andy managed to beat Novak 8 times when Novak is superior to him in almost every way?'
The answer is that the margins by which Novak is better are small enough that if he is not at his best, and if Andy is playing well, Andy can win.
For Murray to beat Fedalovic, they have to underperform. I have always been a huge Murray fan, and I have never been under any illusions about this. That is how it has always been. That is how it was in Murray's 1 win over them so far this year, in the Madrid final. Or does anyone think Nadal brought his A game to that match?
The fact that you described Murray's loss to Fed at WD this year 'as a rude awakening', causing you to 'reevaluate' Murray, suggests to me that you did not realise this before. I always had Fed as a heavy favourite for that match. For Murray to have a chance of winning, Fed would have had to underperform. He didn't.
Murray's matches against Fedalovic are not on his racket. If they bring their A games, he will lose.
There is no shame in this - Fed and Nadal are in the all-time top 3, and Novak is in the all-time top 10 and rising. Andy, though a great player, is just not at this kind of level.
I agree that Murray is not as mentally strong as Fedalovic, but that is a high yardstick. Murray's intensity and fighting spirit is one of the things that actually separates him for the Berdyches and Tsongas, it's one of the things that makes him as good as he is.
I think it is actually partly Murray's mental strength that allows to be competitive against Fedalovic
at all, given their superior games.
I would also add that it's easier to be mentally strong when you're the better player. Fedalovic are all superior technically and athletically to Murray, which contributes to the mentality.
Murray has a great record against most players, and has beaten the 3 players who are better than him 25 times. I looked at the 'performance zone' on the ATP website a while back, and found that Andy has:
An excellent tie-break record (142-91), superior to that of Lendl, Becker and Edberg.
He's 408-33 when winning the first set, ahead of Laver, Agassi, Rosewall, Wilander, Edberg, Sampras, Becker etc.
He is 81-120 when losing first set, ahead of McEnroe, Agassi, Edberg, Wilander etc.
He's 114-52 in deciding sets, ahead of McEnroe, Sampras, Edberg, Federer etc.
He's come back from 2 sets to love down quite a few times (couldn't find the stat on this), and he's only ever lost a match from 2 sets up once in his entire career, when he was 18 years old and lost to Nalbandian at Wimbledon because he got cramps (i.e. not a mental issue).
In other words, he has a lot of mental strength, and his supposed mental weakness is entirely due to having to play 3 better players.
Did Murray's at times negative mindset sometimes negatively affect his play, especially pre-Lendl? Yes. Has he sometimes had trouble resetting mentally, especially in big matches? Yes. Has this affected his slam count? No, because Fedalovic are just too good anyway.
Some mental issues? Yes. But I think his mental problems against Fedalovic have been just as much, if not more, caused by technical and athletic issues.