2017 Australian Open Day 9: Tuesday, Jan 24 - Order of Play

[mrzz]

I wish I was half as confident as you guys. Wawrinka is playing quite well, and if you look at the last few years their matches have been quite competitive. The H2H is misleading as things stands now. Wawrinka is the higher ranked player, hand has won three majors since Federer's won his last, so I guess he is in fact the favorite. He is also a step above Nishikori and Berdych in terms of opposition for Federer, even if the same also applies the other way around.

Stan became a Man at the 2014 AO. Let me restrict their H2H to only the matches that Stan played as a Man. Even then Fed leads their H2H 5-2.

Here is the H2H of Stan The Man vs. Fed (all Stan the Boy matches are removed).

2015 ATP World Tour Finals SF Hard Roger Federer Stan Wawrinka 7-5 6-3
2015 US Open SF Hard Roger Federer Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-3 6-1
2015 FO - RG QF Clay Stan Wawrinka Roger Federer 6-4 6-3 7-6(4)
2015 Rome Masters SF Clay Roger Federer Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-2
2014 ATP World Tour Finals SF Hard Roger Federer Stan Wawrinka 4-6 7-5 7-6(6)
2014 Wimbledon QF Grass Roger Federer Stan Wawrinka 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 6-4
2014 Monte Carlo Masters F Clay Stan Wawrinka Roger Federer 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2

More loopsided than I thought, for sure, but still the last two matches (which someone could say that count the most) are the ones who turned the tide completely in Federer favour.