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Today, I expect one upset only (i.e. lower ranked player beating higher ranked):
Berdych def Schwartzman
The two closely ranked contests are a coin toss, but the first players are my favourites (i.e.: I'd like to see "?" replaced by "def"):
Tsi ? Basilashvili
Tiafoe ? Seppi
Otherwise, easy wins by the ranked favourites.
Berdych will win. It is only a technical upset.
I actually expect Basilashvili and Seppi to win the close matches you mentioned. Not saying they are my favorites. Just saying I think they will win.