My final pre-Wimbledon rankings:
- Alcaraz
- Sinner
- Djokovic
- Hurkacz
- Zverev
- Medvedev
- Dimitrov
- Berrettini
- Rune
- De Minaur
Honorable mentions: Fritz, Korda, Paul, Ruud, FAA
I'm starting to think that Alcaraz, while being an all-courter, is overall best on grass and has the edge over Sinner on grass and clay, while Sinner has the edge on hards. But they're close enough across the board to make every match of theirs interesting.
In that sense, the draw will be important. Who gets Novak? (assuming he plays and isn't upset). Or rather, who of Sinner and Djokovic get Alcaraz? I just hope that it is Djokovic/Alcaraz so we can possibly see an Alcaraz-Sinner final.
As for the rest, there's a big gap between 3 and 4, with 4-6 grouped together, then 7+. Hurkacz is the guy no one wants to face early on. Zverev is going to be hard to beat until he faces one of the top guys, when he'll inevitably fold. Medvedev's weakest surface of grass, but at this point he almost seems underrated. While he's had his ups and down, he's been really good for most of the last six years and has reached the final of two of the last three Slams.
Dimitrov and Berrettini are guys I hope have good tournaments and I can see one of them making the SF.
Rune...well, we remain in waiting mode. One of these Slams he's going to breakout and go really deep. I suspect it won't be Wimbledon, but rather the US Open. But who knows, if not this year then definitely next...right?
De Minaur is just solid and could reach the QF, but hard to see him going beyond that. The honorable mentions...well, just putting some names out there. The only guy who could theoretically surprise and go deep is FAA, but it seems unlikely.