Riotbeard said:
Kieran said:
Bear in mind, this semi-topic about Stan only started when GSM congratulated uncle T for not spinning the victory. Which I picked up on because GSM himself was spinning Stan's "victory" as an example the great Roger, of all people, should follow. I like GSM's posts and he knows a bit of give and take when he sees it.
The similarities between these two matches are obvious, the main ones being that they were both ruined by injury...
Yes, but there are also huge differences. While in both cases we cannot know what the outcome would have been without injury, the fact that the player winning got injured versus the player losing got injured should color the narrative. Rafa was a class act for finishing AO, but he wasn't two games away from the title and then gets injured. It is a whole different feel and context for the injury. Also there was not a marquee victory en route to the final for rafa, like stan over Novak, that lessons the blow of winning via wounded opponent. Rafa didn't need to prove anything (overall in terms of his career) by winning this, so saying he won by attrition (a legitimate path to victory and sometimes the way it goes) shouldn't be cause for a universal rafa fan freakout and wagon circling. The guy had 26 masters before this, let it go. I don't see anybody saying anything that Toni didn't already cover.
Nadal would have lost to Nishikori had it not been for the injury.
Against Stan, nobody in their right mind is going to debate that he was getting soundly outplayed, but I'll ask this: Did anyone look at the match at 6-3 2-0 (before the back injury) and thought: Yeah, this is over, Nadal ain't coming back. It was a best of five set match and we had only played a set and two games. Think about that for a second. We weren't even midway through a straight set victory, let alone a potential five setter.
I never ever claimed Nadal would have won had it not been for the injury, but are we seriously going to believe that because Stan was so on fire, there's no way Nadal would have gotten back in the match? Because we've NEVER seen a player play well against Nadal only for his level to drop, Nadal's level to rise, and you know the rest...
I'd like to hear how everyone who claimed Nadal wasn't going to win this match say this while the match was taking place before the injury. Nobody would have actually said it, because they know better. That's kinda what ticks me off the most about the post-match reactions.
Regardless, this post is certainly not directed at you Riotbeard (I just happened to quote you), and it's useless to speculate about what would have happened against Stan. I'm merely explaining the holes in the logic of those thinking that match was over before the injury.
Back to Nishikori, obviously, it's a different scenario, as he was two games away from victory, playing very well against a dreadful Nadal, so there's a huge chance he was going to win the match and the championship. Unfortunate.