London ATP Tour Finals

DarthFed

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Meaningless match for Roger today.  Kind of sucks if you're a paying fan but that's how it goes.  If Roger loses and Berdych somehow wins then Djokovic would be eliminated and that'd probably be Fed's most desired outcome even though he'd be #2 from his group.  If Roger wins then Djokovic could still get in just by winning a set today.
 

DarthFed

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And as I say that Roger takes control of the match.  As long as he's off the court in 2 sets that's good.  Going the distance for a pretty meaningless match is not good win or lose.
 

ClayDeath

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11947 said:
Clay Death wrote:
folks I took another look at the Federer vs Djokovic match. I have to be believe what Federer said. what he said that he deserves some credit for taking that match. Djokovic was a little off but I thought he moved well and returned fairly well. Djokovic is just a machine off both wings. it is very difficult to make an impression on his game. Federer did make some added use of his topspin backhand as he should. he has to show him that he is not afraid to rally with him as he has often said before. Federer also mixed it up nicely too. it all worked out. I did find Federer sharp and focused on winning. his body language was positive.
The way to beat Djokovic is to bludgeon him, give him no rhythm. It helps when Novak gets discouraged and plays below his best, this is what i think happened in this match. In the first set Roger was aggressive and won the set, in the second Novak was a bit demoralized and it exacerbated the problems. When Novak and Roger play, there always seem to be moments where Novak has to weather a storm but eventually, the storm subsides and Novak sinks his teeth in the match; once this happens, Roger usually cannot get out of it. Roger knows he has to finish it fast and be very aggressive, serve well, come to net, hit his f big and throw in drop shots etc… not give Novak same ball too often. I think his tactics today are actually effective vs Novak but hard to maintain over 3 out 5 set matches and on slower courts. If they play in the final, i will expect some of the same, Roger play really well and take a set off. The key will be whether Novak can stay close, stay positive and wait for Roger to slow down because this ultra aggressive game is not easy to maintain. Once Novak takes a set, match is over IMO…
great post.

 

once djokovic sinks his teeth and gets into the groove and rhythm off the baseline he is nearly impossible to derail. he is immensely fit and physically strong so he has great staying power. his mental staying power is off the charts.

Wawrinka employed the right tactics at RG against him: first he told him and the world that he feared no one. strong, positive mindset is a must against Djokovic these days.

and then he simply went for broke. he fired away and went for his shots. it was the greatest match of his career and it had to be.

Federer would also agree with what you said: you have to put Djokovic away otherwise he always comes back.
 

ClayDeath

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order of play for Friday:

 

http://www.atpworldtour.com/en/scores/current/barclays-atp-world-tour-finals/605/daily-schedule
 

DarthFed

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Guess I should have kept my mouth shut.  It's heading to 3 after Nishikori won the last 5 games of the 2nd set.
 

Moxie

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11971 said:
Guess I should have kept my mouth shut. It’s heading to 3 after Nishikori won the last 5 games of the 2nd set.
I quit watching when Roger was 3-1 in the 2nd, figuring it was over.  What happened?  Well, at least Roger gets tomorrow off.
 

DarthFed

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This is just stupid for Roger IMO.  This match will be over 2 hours long.  It should've been used as a glorified practice.
 

DarthFed

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11977 said:
Twisted wrote:
Guess I should have kept my mouth shut. It’s heading to 3 after Nishikori won the last 5 games of the 2nd set.
I quit watching when Roger was 3-1 in the 2nd, figuring it was over. What happened? Well, at least Roger gets tomorrow off.

He got it to 4-1 and lost 5 games in a row and now is getting into long games in the early part of the third set.  Tough to turn off the competitive juices but this was a match where I wish he had.
 

DarthFed

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Up 4-1 again, hopefully this can end quickly and without him losing 5 games in a row again B-)
 

Moxie

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11980 said:
Up 4-1 again, hopefully this can end quickly and without him losing 5 games in a row again
wpml_cool.gif
I was going to write the same shortly ago, and now Nishikori has broken back, and it's 4-3.  What a mess from Roger.
 

DarthFed

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Absolute disaster.  Losing 6-1 6-1 would've been more ideal.
 

brokenshoelace

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11943 said:
Broken_shoelace wrote:
If there is one draw back to Roger still being great at 34, it’s that people forgot just how great he was in his prime. They see him playing great now and assume he was only a marginally better then. He was ridiculously better, which is actually saying something.
i just hate some of your simpleton arguments, they are lazy and lack thought. There is no telling how 04-07 Roger would’ve fared against 15 Djokovic. 18 year old Nadal beat him 3,3 on hard courts in 04, baby Novak beat a him on hards in 07 and baby Murray beat him in 06. What does this tell us? Shall i dare say that if baby Nadal, baby Novak and baby Murray could beat prime Roger, 34 year old Roger would be lucky to get games from them today? We know that’s not true. One the other side of the same token, we also can’t say ‘If Roger is beating them today, imagine 04-06 Roger’. My point is, it’s not thats simple and we can argue it both ways. The game has changed, Roger’s game has changed and these simpleton arguments really hold no water. If we could transport 15 Djokovic back to 04, he could very well own that Roger. Roger was more consistent but played differently and the more defensive, tactical, consistent game he played back then would probably not match up great against Djokovic. Through the years Roger has become much more aggressive and even changed his racquets. Even though he’s more inconsistent today, he employs a more rhythm breaking style which i believe is more effective against Novak. We really don’t know how 2015 Novak would fare against 04-07 Federer. Using simpleton arguments we can say either ‘He would dominate him since baby Novak was starting to beat prime Roger in 07’ or ‘Roger would own him as 34 year old Roger is occasionally beating Djokovic’. Which simpleton argument here wins? Answer is, we have no clue and it could go both ways depending on how you look at it.

You accuse me of simpleton argument about a Federer-Djokovic match-up and literally a sentence later you bring up how Nadal beat Federer, which has nothing to do with anything.

You call my arguments simple, I call yours borderline ridiculous. Yes, we'll never know for sure who would win between 2006 Fed and 2015 Djokovic on fast hards, but when I see 2015 34 year old Federer, with inferior movement, inferior backhand and inferior forehand, taking Djokovic in the form of his life to the woodshed in Dubai, Cinci and the WTF, I can formulate a pretty decent assessment as to what 2006 Federer, who dominated the US Open like no other (save for Pete) would have done. Federer is the greatest fast hards players I've ever seen.

The argument that 2015 Fed, in spite of being a singificantly inferior player to his 2006 self has a better chance at beating Novak now than he did then verges on stupid, especially when it's based on the premise that he shortens points now. Well, could it be that he shortens them now because he can't rally with Novak these days, and he actually could in 2006? Now, Novak is a superior baseliner than even prime Federer, but on fast hards, with Fed's slice and forehand, and overall superior offense? And Fed's serve? THAT Federer? He couldn't shorten points then? If he didn't then, maybe it's because he didn't need to since he was the best baseliner in the world? Did you stop to think about that? You're telling me that 2006 Federer wouldn't be able to play the game Roger is now, only much better? No? Not even with more athleticism, foot speed, better footwork, and the greatest shot in the history of tennis (his forehand)? Yeah, you're right. Simpleton arguments.
 

DarthFed

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5-4 Deuce.  Whoever wins this game wins the match.  If it's Nishikori this is going to be approaching 2.5 hours.  Brain fart from Roger today.

And Roger pulls through.  Good to have a day off but I can't help but think this could only hurt his chances.  I'm not sure what the scenarios are for the later match now but I think Nole only needs to win 1 set to qualify.
 

Moxie

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11985 said:
5-4 Deuce. Whoever wins this game wins the match. If it’s Nishikori this is going to be approaching 2.5 hours. Brain fart from Roger today.
Well, he got out of it, but he made his own day much harder.  I like Kei a lot, but I don't know what it would take to make him sturdier and more consistent.  I'll never get when he starts looking tired in 3 set matches with older guys.
 

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11986 said:
Twisted wrote:
5-4 Deuce. Whoever wins this game wins the match. If it’s Nishikori this is going to be approaching 2.5 hours. Brain fart from Roger today.
Well, he got out of it, but he made his own day much harder. I like Kei a lot, but I don’t know what it would take to make him sturdier and more consistent. I’ll never get when he starts looking tired in 3 set matches with older guys.
I guess that playing the likes of Federer, Djokovic and Nadal makes you really tired. Does he look that tired against, say, Ferrer? (it is a genuine question, not rethorical).

 

 

 
 

Moxie

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11988 said:
Moxie wrote:
<blockquote>
Twisted wrote:
5-4 Deuce. Whoever wins this game wins the match. If it’s Nishikori this is going to be approaching 2.5 hours. Brain fart from Roger today.
Well, he got out of it, but he made his own day much harder. I like Kei a lot, but I don’t know what it would take to make him sturdier and more consistent. I’ll never get when he starts looking tired in 3 set matches with older guys.</blockquote>
I guess that playing the likes of Federer, Djokovic and Nadal makes you really tired. Does he look that tired against, say, Ferrer? (it is a genuine question, not rethorical).
I was thinking specifically of a SF loss to Hewitt in 2014 at Brisbane.  Granted, it was Australian summer-hot, but Hewitt is nearly 9 years older and has had about 7000 surgeries.  Kei like he was going to faint at the end.  He did make the USO final last year, after a really tough run of late-nighters and 5-setters, so I know he's working on it.  Look, he lost to Roger today, and that's not why.  It was really just an aside about him getting tired against the oldsters.  The surprise wasn't Kei today, it was Roger, who let that go way too long.
 

ClayDeath

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LONDON — Roger Federer withstood a stunning fightback from Kei Nishikori to claw out a 7-5 4-6 6-4 victory and stay undefeated at this year's ATP World Tour Finals on Thursday.
The win means Swiss Federer tops Stan Smith Group, having won all three of his round-robin matches at the ATP's season-ender for the ninth time in 14 consecutive appearances.
It was touch and go, though, at the end as Federer let slip a 4-1 lead in the second set, losing five games in a row as Japan's Nishikori began to dominate from the baseline.

 
The Japanese looked the stronger player at the start of the deciding set but allowed Federer off the hook when he failed to break the Swiss's serve in the third game having been 0-40 up.
World number three Federer, urging himself on despite having already guaranteed himself a semi-final, moved 4-1 ahead in the decider, only for Nishikori to surge back to 4-4.
Federer found four first serves to give himself some respite and force world number eight Nishikori to serve to stay in the tournament. This time he wavered and Federer claimed victory with a powerful overhead and end Nishikori's progress in the tournament.

 
World number one Novak Djokovic will clinch runners-up spot in the group if beats Tomas Berdych later, although he would be eliminated if he lost to the Czech in straight sets.
 

ClayDeath

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I am not too sure what is going to happen tomorrow with Andy. I just cant see him take 2 hours to derail Stan and then have to slave away for another 2+ hours against Djokovic in the semis.

right now I don't see it but I could be wrong. I would love to see Andy in the finals but I think I may have to wait for that deal.

Berdych does not have much of a chance today. he is 0-17 against djokovic on the hard courts. it is a fairly safe assumption that right now Djokovic is at the peak of his powers and abilities.
 

DarthFed

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^ The winner of Murray-Stan will be playing Federer.  It's going to Nadal and Djokovic in the semis unless Berdych wins in straights.
 

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12005 said:
^ The winner of Murray-Stan will be playing Federer. It’s going to Nadal and Djokovic in the semis unless Berdych wins in straights.

that's a bummer, i would've preferred Stan vs Djoker and Fed vs Rafa in semis, two intriguing match-ups.