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When I heard at Wimbledon that the US men recorded their worst showing in 100 years, I thought would be interesting analyzing what is next or the US men in tennis and are there any signs of getting out of this hole?
I pulled the top 10 US guys currently in the rankings. Here they are:
Isner ranked 20
Querrey 22
-------------------
Fish 64
Blake 77
Russell 93
-------------------
Sock 94
S. Johnson 101
Harrison 107
Kudla 109
R. Williams 116
So the big picture is quite bleak with ONLY 6 players in the top 100. I cannot remember ever so few americans in the top 100.
I grouped them into 3 clusters, because you may analyze them this way as a group:
1. The first cluster, the twin towers. I predicted about 3 years ago, when they were 3/4 in US behind Roddick and Fish that they will be the top americans in a few years and here they are. Big John was once in the top 10 briefly following his surprising IW final last year, but that is about it. Sam was never in the top 15 yet, only 20, but he is younger. I do think that the top 10 is a stretch for him, as he is too defensive for his stature. So the 2 of them are about at their best or close to it anyway, I doubt they will have a too much upside in the future.
2. the next cluster, the veterans. Mardy might resurge once if he will be healthy, but there is a big question mark over his health. Blake and Russell are still around, in this era when players seems to like to stretch their career into the mid 30's, but as far as great results, it will not happen
3. the next cluster is the "next generation".
these are those who will carry the torch once they join the current top 2 americans, but they are still a long way to go. Harrison had a surge last year, but he fell back badly and now has been caught up on by the other up and comers.
Who will be able to elevate from this group? Who is the most talented?
I think is anybody's game, and they are all around 21-22. Time will tell, but I bet the great American players are watching these young men and they cannot believe it how little is now left to cheer for as of now. I am not American, but it is quite sad.
I pulled the top 10 US guys currently in the rankings. Here they are:
Isner ranked 20
Querrey 22
-------------------
Fish 64
Blake 77
Russell 93
-------------------
Sock 94
S. Johnson 101
Harrison 107
Kudla 109
R. Williams 116
So the big picture is quite bleak with ONLY 6 players in the top 100. I cannot remember ever so few americans in the top 100.
I grouped them into 3 clusters, because you may analyze them this way as a group:
1. The first cluster, the twin towers. I predicted about 3 years ago, when they were 3/4 in US behind Roddick and Fish that they will be the top americans in a few years and here they are. Big John was once in the top 10 briefly following his surprising IW final last year, but that is about it. Sam was never in the top 15 yet, only 20, but he is younger. I do think that the top 10 is a stretch for him, as he is too defensive for his stature. So the 2 of them are about at their best or close to it anyway, I doubt they will have a too much upside in the future.
2. the next cluster, the veterans. Mardy might resurge once if he will be healthy, but there is a big question mark over his health. Blake and Russell are still around, in this era when players seems to like to stretch their career into the mid 30's, but as far as great results, it will not happen
3. the next cluster is the "next generation".
these are those who will carry the torch once they join the current top 2 americans, but they are still a long way to go. Harrison had a surge last year, but he fell back badly and now has been caught up on by the other up and comers.
Who will be able to elevate from this group? Who is the most talented?
I think is anybody's game, and they are all around 21-22. Time will tell, but I bet the great American players are watching these young men and they cannot believe it how little is now left to cheer for as of now. I am not American, but it is quite sad.