Gambles: Barcelona, Bucharest, Stuttgart, Istanbul

[britbox]

Just put a cheeky dollar on both (Jaz at 3.5 in-gam, Fog at 6.5)

 

[Bert]

Jaziri missed his chance with 2 BP at 5-5 in the 2nd set + few games points at 5-6. Will be very surprised if he comes back from that.

Fognini is tempting, will be ultra-motivated against Nadal. I think he will be a bit short for the win, but may win a set. Fognini to take a set is @ 2.65. Not bad. Won't go for it but looks more likely than the win

 

[britbox]

Both boredom punts really - something else I need to learn not to do Jaziri a break down in the 3rd.

 

[Bert]

The good thing with Paire is that there is always a hope. Brain can be switched off at any time

 

[Bert]

Another good bet to be taken is Radwanska in Stuttgart. She is given @ 1.35 against Siegemund and that looks great value to me. Siegemund is doing a great tournament, winning 3 qualifying rounds before defeating Pavlyuchenkova, Halep and Vinci. All in straight sets ! Not bad for a girl who is ranked #71. However, Pavlyuchenkova was on 3 consecutive losses in a first round before this tournament and clearly not playing good this season. Halep was apparently injured and Vinci, even if she is top10, she has not the same powerful game as the other players of the Top10.
Radwanska is in a ctaegory above and can't see her losing this one. May be tough but she will get this one.

 

[britbox]

Bit of a shock result with Aga - she's usually good value for those type of matches.

 

[Bert]

Yes. Surprised that she lost and surprised that she lost in straight sets. One good reason not to net on the final