Moxie
Multiple Major Winner
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2013
- Messages
- 44,366
- Reactions
- 15,420
- Points
- 113
Well, it was fair to assume that Rafa would win RG, since he won it almost every time he played it. Basically, we don't even have to assume it...he just did.It's ok to assume Nadal would win in Paris on clay year in & year out, but after Novak's won the Aussie Open 10 times; 3 in a row twice, defeating Nadal in long & short matches on that court, but now there's all this freakin' doubt?! OMG, save me!This is getting almost as ridiculous as the differences seen by Republicans & Democrats! It's like night & day, wet & dry, hot & cold, then sane & insane!
Novak has won the AO 10 times out of 21 times played. Less than 50%. Certainly, 2022 was within the sweet spot of his winning days, and Djokovic would have been the favorite to win, if he'd played in 2022. But it doesn't mean he'd have won it. You can't make up 6-7 matches that were never played. He would definitely have had to go through Nadal, if he got that far, and they've had a tight match there. Plus, the other factors I mentioned. I honestly would have been surprised if he made it to the 2nd week.