2019 Wimbledon QF: Nadal vs. Querrey

[tented]

Who wins?

 

[imjimmy]

Querry is at least stylistically interesting vs. Nadal because of that serve and the fact that he can play on grass. Novak-Goffin will be a joke and Roger will steamroll Nishikori on this surface.

Querrey-Nadal is a danger match for Nadal. It will likely be harder than most people think. Following are the stats for Querrey so far:

vs Thiem : 22 aces, 53 winners, 28 UE
Vs Rublev: 26 aces, 55 winners, 17 UE
Vs Millman : 27 aces, 52 winners, 31 UE
Vs Sandgren : 25 aces, 74 winners, 39 UE

Break points saved by Querrey:

Thiem: 6/6
Rublev: 5/5
Millman: 0/1
Sandgren: 4/4
Total: 15 break points saved in 16 opportunities

Querrey has held serve 71 out of 72 times in 4 matches. He has 100+ Aces.

Querrey's been making the QF of Wimbledon regularly. In 2017 Wimbledon Querrey was a few points from making the final.

Given Nadals' (relatively weaker) return of serve and his history against big servers/big hitters on grass - this won't be easy. It's on court 1 and has a similar flavor to the Mueller-Nadal match of 2017.

Also the last meeting b/w Querrey/Nadal in Acupalco - Querrey won in straights on a surface that should have favored Nadal more.

So I'm sure Nadal recognizes the danger and knows that a few slips might be crucial. I think it might be a very close match - harder than the one against Kygrios. Nadal will need to return well and his have no lapses on his own serve.

And yeah: Fed vs Nishi and Novak vs Goffin - can't see anything except routine wins.

 

[monfed]

This match is being played on Court 1. So, Querrey in 4 hopefully.

 

[tented]

Nadal in 4 (losing a tiebreak), but I hope it’s 3.

 

[Bonaca]

Straight set win for bull. Querrey is a joke not a opponent on this stage. Maestro vs Bull will be a hell of a SF!!

 

[AnonymousFan]

Nadal in 3, no tiebreaks

 

[mrzz]

Querrey in 2.8, one bagel, Nadal rushes out of the court at 1-5 in the third. His fans on the stadium are spanked by hooligans. Two of our posters commit suicide. Darthfed dies of overdancing. We change the name of this forum to NalbandianTheMostTalentedEver.com

 

[DarthFed]

Querrey in 2.8, one bagel, Nadal rushes out of the court at 1-5 in the third. His fans on the stadium are spanked by hooligans. Two of our posters commit suicide. Darthfed dies of overdancing. We change the name of this forum to NalbandianTheMostTalentedEver.com

Well I could think of worst ways to die. Here's to suddenly one of my favorite countrymen giving us reason to dance tomorrow

 

[mrzz]

Well I could think of worst ways to die. Here's to suddenly one of my favorite countrymen giving us reason to dance tomorrow

I was quite sure you would like it... and in seriousness I really think this one will be tight.

 

[DarthFed]

I was quite sure you would like it... and in seriousness I really think this one will be tight.

I don't. The asshole is relentless. I hope Roger is ready for nuclear war if he gets there

 

[atttomole]

Nadal in 4 because Querrey is good enough to steal at least 1 set.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

I don't know who wins. But, I certainly would not mind if Ralph wins as it gives a chance to at least even out the H2H (not the overall, but the freebie given by Fed to Ralph at RG this year).

I was planning to vote for Ralph in 4, but imjimmy gave powerful arguments and I agree with it. So, I am voting for Uncle Sam in 4, an independence day gift delayed by less than a week.

 

[Moxie]

Nadal in 4 (losing a tiebreak), but I hope it’s 3.

I think this is the best answer, so I'm going to copy off of it. And I hope it's 3, too, but 1 TB set to Sam is perfectly likely. Sam is a cool customer. Now a side note: I'm surprised they're putting this match on court 1. Not that I ever get my ego bound up in Nadal playing off Centre Court, but they've put the two matches that are likely to be better battles, and longer, for that matter, on the same court, and the two likely to be over in the blink of an eye on CC.

 

[Nadalfan2013]

If there's a God then Nadal will win the title because he's by far the most beautiful tennis player both on the outside and inside.

 

[tenisplayrla08]

So naturally this is the one I'm hoping for upset in the most. One because I'm a Fed fan who respects Nadal but can never really be his fan. I do love to see them play each other. And think Fed has a very good chance to win if he has to play Nadal in the semis. So it's not entirely that I don't want Fed to have to play Nadal because Nadal would definitely beat him. But naturally, Nadal has a much better chance of beating Fed than Querrey does. But I'm picking Querrey more because I like to see Nadal lose than because of anything to do with Fed.

But also. I've been a fan of Querrey his entire career. When he and Isner showed up. I chose him. Never cared for Isner. I've always thought Querrey is the most talented of the two. That has proved to be mostly incorrect. It hasn't mattered either way of course. Both have 1 semifinal here. Querrey 1 more quarterfinal and the win over Novak. And Querrey has a Queens title. But the guys he beat on the way to that title was probably the easiest draw a titlist has ever had there. It's all names you'd know. But nobody of consequence. Mardy Fish in 2010 was solid. But on the grass Querrey was better.

Against Nadal, Querrey has a win, in their last match back in 2017 in the Acapulco final for the title. He won the first set 6-3 then took a tiebreak. They have played 4 tiebreaks in 5 matches. Querrey has won 3 of them. Nadal is 4-1 in those 5 matches. But the first 3 of them were in 2008 or before. They didn't play again until 2016. Nadal won on clay, in 4 sets, in a Davis Cup match. Then Querrey won in Acapulco. So there is certainly reason to believe Querrey can pull this off. We know he's better than his ranking. We know his history here. Of course, all of Nadal's history here is better and suggests he'll deal with Querrey and move on to Fed. That is pointless to say. Nadal is the favorite. But Querrey should push him. I struggle to take matches from 2008 into account at this point. I mean, Querrey was not yet 21. Of course Nadal was only 23ish.

Rafa has been sublime so far. But he hasn't played anyone other than Kyrgios. It hurts my soul to say Tsonga doesn't count as a someone. Especially at Wimbledon. But at his age and after all of his injuries, he's a shell of his former self and he hasn't threatened Nadal in a decade anyways. Theoretically, Kyrgios is a better player than Querrey. But Querrey certainly calmer and mentally stronger. Gives very little away on court as far as emotion. Mostly stoic. More importantly, he knows what it takes to go deep at Wimbledon. I can see Nadal starting off strong and taking the first set and then Querrey getting a rhythm on his serve and maybe getting the second or third set. If he can push it to 5, he's got a shot. Of course Nadal in 5 sets is a great record. But Querrey doesn't have a bad 5 set record. I'd love to think Querrey can win it in 3 straight tiebreaks. But I am not that naive or dumb. Querrey's run here should end tomorrow. I hope I'm wrong. He has an outside chance. But we should see Fedal XL.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

If there's a God then Nadal will win the title because he's by far the most beautiful tennis player both on the outside and inside.

Why do you have doubts about existence of God ; Afterall, Nadal is God and he exists.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

I think this is the best answer, so I'm going to copy off of it. And I hope it's 3, too, but 1 TB set to Sam is perfectly likely. Sam is a cool customer. Now a side note: I'm surprised they're putting this match on court 1. Not that I ever get my ego bound up in Nadal playing off Centre Court, but they've put the two matches that are likely to be better battles, and longer, for that matter, on the same court, and the two likely to be over in the blink of an eye on CC.

Don't worry both courts have roof and the chances are that all the matches will be done on wednesday itself without any carry over.

Also, I think they wanted to do parallel scheduling of matches so that the two winners will face each other (that way ensuring fairness, so to speak with respect to recovery time).

 

[Hamidreza Roohian]

No disrespect to Querrey but I am already thinking and talking about Fedal:
https://us.blastingnews.com/sports/...the-surface-makes-a-difference-002944359.html

 

[tented]

Rafa breaks, up 2-1.

 

[DarthFed]

I'm not sure why anyone thought this would be interesting. I'd expect Nadal to win 65% of 2nd serve points and not face a BP. Querrey is all serve like other Amercians