2015 Slam Challenge! French Open Edition

El Dude

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Thanks to Kirijax for reminding me about the Slam Challenge - I totally forgot! Anyhow, here's a link to the Australian Open thread, complete with rules.

Nevermind, I'll just repost here; I've taken out the part about individual tournament titles as I didn't account for a tiebreaker so it doesn't really work:

The rules are basically the same as last year but I'd like to organize and rank a bit differently in order to somewhat mirror the actual ATP tour. I don't think we can get enough participant buy-in to do all the Masters, but I'd like to do the four Slams and the World Tour Finals, with a "year-end #1" for the participant with the most points. In other words, please note that this year the Slam Challenge includes FIVE tournaments - all four Slams and the World Tour Finals.

Here's how the revised system will work:

  1. Pick players and accrue points as last year - Pretty simple, just follow the rules below - the same as last year.
  2. Rankings - Participants are ranked by point total, with tiebreakers going to those who had the highest total in the most recent tournament.
  3. Year-end #1 - The player with the most points at the end of the year--after the four Slams and World Tour Final--is crowned the Year-end #1.

2015 SLAM PREDICTION CHALLENGE - RULES
  • How to Play - Pick a Winner, Runner-up, two Semifinalists, four Quarterfinalists, one Dark Horse and one Wildcard candidate for each Slam; for the WTF, the rules will be slightly different.
  • Points - 12 Winner, 8 Runner-up, 3 Semifinalist, 1 Quarterfinalist for a total of 30 possible. Note that points are not cumulative, but you do get points if a player finishes lower than what you picked (e.g. If you pick Djokovic to win but he's the runner-up, you still get 8 points; if you pick Murray to be the runner-up but he wins, you only get the 8 points you picked him for).
  • Dark Horse - Gets points for whatever their final position is; they cannot have won a Slam within the last two calendar years, or eight Slams. This means that you cannot pick Nadal, Djokovic, Murray, Wawrinka, or Cilic as the Dark Horse.
  • Wildcard - Gets points as the Dark Horse, but cannot be ranked in the top 10 at the beginning of the tournament.
  • Tiebreakers - In cases in which two participants have equal points, the leader among the two will be determined by the following tiebreaks, in this order: Correctly chosen winner; points of Dark Horse; points of Wildcard.
  • Missing Slams - Members who want to join after the AO or miss a later Slam get a total number of points equal to the lowest score for the missed Slam, minus one point. The default points for the AO is 3.
  • Late Penalty - You can make your picks without penalty until the first serve of Round 1. After that there will be a -3 point penalty per round (or two days), so if you're late by a few days you still can accrue some decent points!

*NOTE: While you can slot a player in two spots, there is really no point to it and you're essentially wasting a slot. I will try to watch any "double-booking" but if I don't before the tournament begins, I'll simply disqualify the lower pick. For example, if you pick a player for both the Dark Horse and Quarterfinal then the QF pick is lost as the DH can only equal or surpass it in terms of points.

Good luck and let me know if any of the above isn't clear! Let's consider this a "beta" version for a day or two, just to make sure I'm not completely missing something. Oh yeah, PLEASE PARTICIPATE!!!!!


______________________________________________________________________________________
And here's the rankings from the AO:

1t. crystalfire 27
1t. El Dude 27
1t. kskate2 27
4t. Kieran 25
4t. sid 25
6. GameSetAndMath 23
7. secrettennisjunkie 22
8t. Ftan 21
8t. tented 21
10. rahulpawar 20
11t. Kirijax 19
11t. Moose 19
11t. rafanoy1992 19
14t. Riotbeard 18
14t. Denisovich 18
16. AntiPusher 16
17. AungAung 15
18. fashionista 14
19. MrT 12
20. mrzz 9
21. golds girl 8
22. 1972Murat 4
 

Kirijax

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Thanks El Dude! Now I'll need to pour over the draws and make my educated guesses. Hope everybody puts their picks in before the fun starts!
 

El Dude

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My preliminary picks:

W: Djokovic
F: Nadal
SF: Nishikori, Murray
QF: Ferrer, Berdych, Wawrinka, Kyrgios
Dark Horse: Federer
Wildcard: Tsonga
 

GameSetAndMath

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My tentative picks:

Winner: Djokovic
Runner-up: Nadal
Semifinalists: Ferrer, Nishikori
Quarterfinalists: Murray, Wawrinka, Berdych, G.G. Lopez.
Dark Horse: Federer
Wild Card: Monfils
 

ftan

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My picks
Winner: Rafa
Runner-up: Berdych
Semifinalists: Ferrer, GG Lopez
Quarterfinalists: Murray, Wawrinka, Nole, Nishikori
Dark Horse: Federer
Wild Card: Monfils
 

crystalfire

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hey el dude im assuming we have till sunday night eastern to make picks?
 

El Dude

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crystalfire said:
hey el dude im assuming we have till sunday night eastern to make picks?

Check out the "Late Penalty" rule at the end. You can change your pick until first serve without penalty and then receive a -3 per round penalty.
 

GameSetAndMath

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Just a quick reminder for those who want to play for real prizes. Tennis channel has a racquet bracket contest. You need to fill up the complete draw sheet. Need to do so before the first ball is served at RG. Just google it up to find the page.
 

nehmeth

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2015 RG Picks:

Winner: Djokovic
Runner-up: Federer
Semifinalists: Murray, Nishikori
Quarterfinalists: Ferrer, Berdych,Wawrinka, Nadal
Dark Horse: GGL
Wild Card: Monfils
 

Kieran

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I'm going for the least likely, long odds bet:

Winner: Rafa
R/up: Monfils
Semi: Murray, Berdy
QF: Djoker, Stan, Ferrer, Nishi

WC: Nick
DH: Federer
 

El Dude

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I wouldn't say Rafa is "least likely," just probably less likely than Novak. I'd still put Rafa #2.
 

secrettennisjunkie

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W: Djokovic
F: Nadal
SF: Ferrer, Berdych
QF: Murray, Nishikori, Simon, Kyrgios
DH: Federer
WC: Monfils
 

crystalfire

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secrettennisjunkie said:
W: Djokovic
F: Nadal
SF: Ferrer, Berdych
QF: Murray, Nishikori, Simon, Kyrgios
DH: Federer
WC: Monfils

not sure if you looked at draw but both djokovic and rafa cant be in finals as they may meet in QFs. just a tip
 

Kieran

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El Dude said:
I wouldn't say Rafa is "least likely," just probably less likely than Novak. I'd still put Rafa #2.

I'm curious, Dude, you jumbled yours, and so did GSM. Rafa and Nole can't meet in the final but you hedged your bets a little there, did you? The mistake I can see (mistake is too strong a word, but you know what I mean) is that if Rafa makes the final, he's likely discarded Nole along the way. He certainly wouldn't be runner up.

You're putting your main eggs on Nole, and your secondary ones on Rafa? It's one I haven't seen before, or maybe I did but didn't pay attention. Good luck with it!
 

crystalfire

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W: djokovic
F: rafa
SF: Berdych, murray
QF: monfils,ferrer, nishikori, wawrinka
DH:fed
WC: kyrgios

this was tough
 

crystalfire

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Kieran said:
El Dude said:
I wouldn't say Rafa is "least likely," just probably less likely than Novak. I'd still put Rafa #2.

I'm curious, Dude, you jumbled yours, and so did GSM. Rafa and Nole can't meet in the final but you hedged your bets a little there, did you? The mistake I can see (mistake is too strong a word, but you know what I mean) is that if Rafa makes the final, he's likely discarded Nole along the way. He certainly wouldn't be runner up.

You're putting your main eggs on Nole, and your secondary ones on Rafa? It's one I haven't seen before, or maybe I did but didn't pay attention. Good luck with it!

yea im confused how are yall picking rafa and djoker to be in finals.
 

britbox

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It's not that confusing... It's hedging bets. If Nadal beats Djokovic in the quarters then they'll pick up points for Nadal making the final.
 

crystalfire

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britbox said:
It's not that confusing... It's hedging bets. If Nadal beats Djokovic in the quarters then they'll pick up points for Nadal making the final.

ohh makes sense might as well change mine since i dont see any other worthy finalist lmao
 

herios

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Winner: Djokovic
RU: Berdych
SF: Ferrer, Monfils
QF: Nadal, Murray, Nishokori, Wawrinka
DH: Federer
WC: GG. Lopez
 

Denis

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Winner: Djokovic
RU: Nishikori
SF: Ferrer, Berdych
QF: Nadal, Murray, Monfils, Wawrinka
DH: Federer
WC: Simon