-FG- said:
Kei getting more than one set would really surprise me, as I don't see his serve or any other part of his game causing Novak too many problems. I can imagine a scenario where Novak is in control most of the time, but a lapse from him and/or great play from Kei costs him a set, similar to the match against Gulbis at the French Open.
But during Kei's other good runs in Miami and Madrid his efforts caught up on him at some point, so I'm not sure how he will handle it physically this time and a routine three-set-win or even a retirement seem possible to me as well.
FG, I agree with you for the most part but there is a part of Kei's game that has caused guys like Roger and Rafa huge problems and it can hurt Nole too : Taking the ball really early on the baseline and taking time away from the opponent. It gave Rafa fits on the Madrid clay up until Kei got hurt. It totally got Roger out of his comfort zone in Miami and Madrid.
I am not saying it WILL hurt Nole consistently, but it is something Kei does well and Nole should be ready for it.