the AntiPusher said:
tented said:
Explain please..U don't think that Ernest has gotten better
Hi AP,
Sorry it has taken so long to reply, but I assure you I wasn't ignoring you.
Basically, I think it's going to come to physical endurance and the psychology of the situation, both of which give Djokovic the edge.
Gulbis has been playing a lot of tennis lately, including winning Nice the week before RG began. He's not used to playing this much, and I question how much longer he's going to be able to go before running out of gas.
Also, this will be his first GS semifinal -- a huge occasion. Novak has a ton of experience at this level, whereas for Gulbis this will be foreign territory. I've never considered Ernests to be the most level-headed, mentally strong, stable competitor (to put it mildly!), and I think the pressure and stress of the occasion will get to him.
He's going to be playing a beast in Novak, who has the strength (physical and mental), and the game to handle him, unlike Roger. In fact, I'd give Novak a better chance at beating Gulbis than anyone else who has made it to the quarters and beyond.
Gulbis won't be able to hit Djokovic off the court, the way he can so many others. And then what? What will be his Plan B? Hit harder? Hit harder still? :nono
Honestly, if Djokovic drops a set I'll be surprised.