Tennis Betting

[tennisfan99]

My tipping service bettingresource has Cepede Royg at 4.50 odds (vs pavly) in WTA, Khachanov at 4.30 odds (vs berdych) and Lopez at 2.35 odds (vs ferrer) in ATP for June 1st. So far he has been right 50% this french open but if you are betting guy its great profit because of the big odds. Even if the picked players don't win, expect tight match and maybe you can bet them on the game handicap if you don't have guts to put money on direct win.

Previous tips in french open so far in ATP: Tiafoe 3.85 (vs fognini), young 5.80 (vs ferrer), Napalitano 3.30 (vs Zverev) and in WTA Makarova 2.75(vs Kerber), Buyukacay 6.90 (vs lucic), cepede 3.50 (vs safarova), lemoine 4.5 (vs bellis), Ozaki 3.65 (vs Bouchard)

That young match was so close to winning.

 

[britbox]

My tipping service betting resource has Cepede Royg at 4.50 odds (vs pavly) in WTA, Khachanov at 4.30 odds (vs berdych) and Lopez at 2.35 odds (vs ferrer) in ATP for June 1st. So far he has been right 50% but if you are betting guy its great profit because of the big odds. Even if the picked players don't win, expect tight match and maybe you can bet them on the game handicap if you don't have guts to put money on direct win.

Previous tips in french open so far in ATP: Tiafoe 3.85 (vs fognini), young 5.80 (vs ferrer), Napalitano 3.30 (vs Zverev) and in WTA Makarova 2.75(vs Kerber), Buyukacay 6.90 (vs lucic), cepede 3.50 (vs safarova), lemoine 4.5 (vs bellis), Ozaki 3.65 (vs Bouchard)

That young match was so close to winning.

50% isn't good from a betting expert. You might as well flip a coin.

El Dude, who is sitting bottom of our predictions table is 66.7% right now.

 

[tennisfan99]

50% isn't good from a betting expert. You might as well flip a coin.

El Dude, who is sitting bottom of our predictions table is 66.7% right now.

Winning % without odds means nothing when it comes to betting and profit. Yield is the only number that tells how good a tipster is. You can easily hit 70% picking players like djokovic in every match but you would still be down money because a bet on djokovic will return so little in almost every match.

Tiafoe 3.85 (loss), young 5.80 (loss), Napalitano 3.3 (won), Makarova 2.75 (won), Buyukacay 6.90 (won) Cepede 3.50 (won), lemoine 4.5 (loss), Ozaka 3.65 loss.

That is 50%. But if you bet $1 on all those picks the results would be -1, -1, +2.3, +1.75, +5.90, +2.5, -1, -1 for a net profit of $8.45 on total riskof $8. That is more than 100% yield. Even if the 3 picks lose for june 1st, its still great yield overall.

 

[britbox]

Winning % without odds means nothing when it comes to betting and profit. Yield is the only number that tells how good a tipster is. You can easily hit 70% picking players like djokovic in every match but you would still be down money because a bet on djokovic will return so little in almost every match.

Tiafoe 3.85 (loss), young 5.80 (loss), Napalitano 3.3 (won), Makarova 2.75 (won), Buyukacay 6.9 (won) Cepede 3.50 (won), lemoine 4.5 (loss), Ozaka 3.65 loss.

That is 50%. But if you bet $1 on all those picks the results would be -1, -1, +2.3, +1.75, +5.90, +2.5, -1, -1 for a net profit of $8.45 on total riskof $8. That is more than 100% yield. Even if the 3 picks lose for june 1st, its still great yield overall.

The percentage I gave was predicting every single match not just Djokovic.

I'd have to see more of a pattern to be convinced as only the Buyukacay match saved the bet.

 

[tennisfan99]

The percentage I gave was predicting every single match not just Djokovic.

I'd have to see more of a pattern to be convinced as only the Buyukacay match saved the bet.

I don't think you have much betting experience. If Buyukcay match had lost, it still would have been a profit of $1.55 if you had bet $1 on each. $1.55 on a total risk of $8 is 19% yield. Most professional punters with big sample sizes of 1000 picks or more work mostly with 1 to 5% yield. If you can maintain yield over 10% in the long run its considered really good.

Picking every game as straight up winner and having 66% still doesn't mean profit in terms of betting without the yield. If i had blindly picked every favorite so far in this year's french open, i would be close to 70% but if i had bet money on each and every one of those game, i would still be down big even though 70% was right because of the odds. Winning % means nothing in terms of betting. Some scam tipping services use winning % as a marketing tool to suck in a newbie but without yield winning % is nothing. Most pros find value on underdogs and they can maintain solid yield long term just hitting 45 to 55%. Value when it comes to betting is usually on underdogs because the line is inflated towards the favorite due to public perception.

 

[tennisfan99]

Think of it this way. Someone offers you 2.10 odds to predict the coin toss. You can simply bet max bet on heads every time and soon you will be rich hitting just 50% of the time.

But if the same person offered you 1.91 odds, ifyou bet the max bet on heads each time, you will see you bankroll melt away and go broke soon.

 

[britbox]

I don't think you have much betting experience. If Buyukcay match had lost, it still would have been a profit of $1.55 if you had bet $1 on each. $1.55 on a total risk of $8 is 19% yield. Most professional punters with big sample sizes of 1000 picks or more work mostly with 1 to 5% yield. If you can maintain yield over 10% in the long run its considered really good.

Picking every game as straight up winner and having 66% still doesn't mean profit in terms of betting without the yield. If i had blindly picked every favorite so far in this year's french open, i would be close to 70% but if i had bet money on each and every one of those game, i would still be down big even though 70% was right because of the odds. Winning % means nothing in terms of betting. Some scam tipping services use winning % as a marketing tool to suck in a newbie but without yield winning % is nothing. Most pros find value on underdogs and they can maintain solid yield long term just hitting 45 to 55%. Value when it comes to betting is usually on underdogs because the line is inflated towards the favorite due to public perception.

Yes sorry, missed one of the other winners and yeah we did do some gambling threads a year or so ago. We had another tipster on the site.

I like some of your tips based on return from the opening post. I only skimmed it first time.

But welcome to the boards and we could use this thread for fun tips.

 

[tennisfan99]

My tipping service bettingresource has Cepede Royg at 4.50 odds (vs pavly) in WTA, Khachanov at 4.30 odds (vs berdych) and Lopez at 2.35 odds (vs ferrer) in ATP for June 1st. So far he has been right 50% this french open but if you are betting guy its great profit because of the big odds. Even if the picked players don't win, expect tight match and maybe you can bet them on the game handicap if you don't have guts to put money on direct win.

Previous tips in french open so far in ATP: Tiafoe 3.85 (vs fognini), young 5.80 (vs ferrer), Napalitano 3.30 (vs Zverev) and in WTA Makarova 2.75(vs Kerber), Buyukacay 6.90 (vs lucic), cepede 3.50 (vs safarova), lemoine 4.5 (vs bellis), Ozaki 3.65 (vs Bouchard)

That young match was so close to winning.

Oh someone moved my posts from upset thread to this thread. interesting.

so far its already a great day. lopez at 2.35 odds and Kachanov at 4.35 odds already won! Cepedes match is in progress but big profit already secured even if cepedes doesn't win.

 

[britbox]

Good calls, fair play!

 

[tennisfan99]

yea, hell of a profit so far in french open. don't know if you guys bet anything outside of tennis but they had golden state -7 against cleveland in nba playoffs game and that also won big today.

For jun 2nd they don't have any big upset picks, i guess they are playing it safe and don't want to give back the winnings.

Only 2 picks they sent me for jun 2nd for french open is in WTA and its on the handicap of games. Rogers to cover +4.5 games against Mladenovic at 1.95 odds and Bellis to cover +4.5 games against Wozniacki at 2.00 odds. I guess they are expecting tight games.

 

[tennisfan99]

How do i contact the admin of this forum? I just received an email from my tipster with a warning and a request to cease posting the tips. I only posted them because of the Roland Garros upset thread in this forum. But my posts were moved to its own thread called betting thread and someone reported me. But i am really curious how they connected this forum account to my info with them. Did they request my private info from the admin? Only way i can think of that they could connect the dots is the email address but the email address here is private. How did they get it? It is really disappointing if the admin sent them my info. Its against privacy rules guys!

 

[britbox]

I'm one of the admins and no betting tipsters have been in touch. Your email address wouldn't be given to them even if they had.

If you want this thread deleted, just confirm.

 

[tennisfan99]

Hi no need to delete unless you want to. They sent me warning and asked me not to post the client plays. But they said i can post the free plays that they post in their social media. So i will copy and paste what they post in their facebook (facebook.com/bettingresource) or you can do it in the future if you wish to keep the thread going. Last 3 posted are below but 2 already finished. I will copy and paste them:

Posted on jun 5th:

2 Free Plays:
WTA Tennis: Ostapenko 2.20 (ml) vs Wozniacki
ATP Tennnis: Thiem 2.70 (ml) vs Djokovic
Click the like and share button if you want free picks more frequently.

Ostapenko holds 3-0 in head to head but its one of the bad things for Ostapenko backers along with her inexperience. Ostapenko will be overwhelmed at being gland slam quarter final and the game will depend on how she handles the situation mentally--she shouldn't come in thinking that she is a favorite because of the 3-0 h2h. Wozniacki definitely holds the edge in experience. But current form and talent is in favor of Ostapenko. Ostapenko's ground game, when on, is top 5 on tour with her versatile striking abilities. Wozniacki's rally ball pushing stile matches up very poorly against Ostapenkos power striking skills. Ostapenko completely embarrassed Woz in Charleston Or when she hit 70 winners past her in Prague. As long as Ostapenko remains calm (a tough ask in this big stage), its over for Wozniacki, because as has been said, Wozniacki's rally ball is ripe for Ostapenko to put her out of position, and it's even easier on a surface like clay that makes it harder for Woz to change direction. Look out for Ostapenko, she is future (perhaps near future) top 5 player with a very good game--her main weakness is her second serve and once that is fixed she will rise fast.

Thiem as a 2.70 is the value pick even though Djokovic's low odds seems tempting. Djokovic is 5-0 against Thiem, including 2-0 in clay--straight set domination in last year's french open and another trashing in Rome last week. In terms of current form and game quality Thiem is ahead but Djokovic holds huge advantage over the mental aspect of the game. Thiem will definitely make adjustments and if he builds a good game plan with his coaching staff situation is ripe for his picking. Forecast calls for 25MPH wind and rain. Djokovic hates wind and is prone to many unforced errors in windy conditions--many of his upset lossess to players other than Federer, Murray and Nadal came in windy conditions. Thiem himself is not a fan of wind but if he can limit his ball bashing and plan a balanced game between attack and defense, his chances to advance are as good as Djokovic's.


Posted today:

Free Play:
ATP Tennnis: Wawrinka 1.80 (ml) vs Murray
Click the like and share button if you want free picks more frequently....
On a quick look, Murray may seem like a gift from the book as a dog but that is not the real case. Murray's play is sub par so far even though his stats look better in the later rounds of this tournament against higher ranked players. But don't let his win against Delporto and Nishikori fool you. Delporto came into Murray's match with a Groin injury and with anti-inflammatory treatment. Nishikori also was injured in the match before Murray against Chung and almost lost that match but the rain saved him to last another round to face Murray. Nishikori played below average and took 1 set and almost took another. Wawrinka on the other hand is playing very consistent tennis and has put away opponents in straight sets (all of them so far). With his strong back hand and consistent play, wawrinka can win this in 3 or 4 sets if Murray continues to play like how he has played so far.

 

[tennisfan99]

They posted another one just now but its not tennis, but i guess it doesn't matter if you are a bettor as long as it wins..

Free Pick:
NBA: Golden State Warriors -5.5 (1.91) against Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland gave it all in game 3 and that blunder in the last 2 minutes cost them the game. Now the Cavaliers players know its over for them and it is a tall task to ask them to repeat their game 3 performance. Both Kyrie and Lebron was over used throughout the series and in game three and it showed in the 4th quarter as they slowed down. Now this is a short rest game and can't expect them to give everything all 4 quarters. Maybe cleveland coach will try to give more time to bench players like williams and Frye but warriors will go small and make players like Frye look as if they are playing in small motion. Cavs are done mentally and physically and the only way they win this is if Golden State doesn't show up (very unlikely) or if Warriors wishes to win in front of their home fans. But Warriors definitely want to make a statement here after last year and they will try to go undefeated and win convincingly. Public will probably side with Cleveland here because they will think that golden state got lucky at the end of game three but that loss is a big blow to the players morale and it will be very hard for Cleveland to stay fired up for 4 quarters even with the crowd behind them.