Miami Open - WTA : Predictions and Bets

[Bert]

Hi guys,

Miami Open is starting today and so is our friendly betting competition.

Anyone can join, we all start with a virtual budget of 100$. For those who are not familiar with betting and odds, here a link to a post that explains everything. If this is still not clear, ask me, I am here to help.

Here is the match list for day #1 :

I will bet 2$ on Kasatkina who did well in Indian Wells and 10$ on Flipkens. And you ?

 

[britbox]

I'll go $10 on Zhang and $10 on Strycova.

 

[Bert]

100 % success on this first day :

@britbox : +1.8 + 4.8 + 100 = 106.6 $
@Bert : +2.3 + 1.16 + 100 = 103.46 $

Good start !!

 

[Moxie]

Well done guys. I haven't even started paying attention.

 

[Bert]

Well done guys. I haven't even started paying attention.

Don't wait too long Moxie ! Britbox and I will be soon out of reach... or not

 

[Bert]

Women main draw - Day #2

I will bet 5$ on McHale and 5$ on Garcia.

 

[britbox]

I will put $25 on Pliskova. $35 on Cibulkova.

 

[Bert]

I will put $25 on Pliskova. $35 on Cibulkova.

Just be sure that you picked the right Pliskova. The one playing today is Kristyna Pliskova not Karolina who made the semis last week in Indian Wells. Kristyna is #101. Karolina is #14. Still seems a good pick but worth checking

 

[britbox]

Just be sure that you picked the right Pliskova. The one playing today is Kristyna Pliskova not Karolina who made the semis last week in Indian Wells. Kristyna is #101. Karolina is #14. Still seems a good pick but worth checking

Actually bert, I had the wrong Pliskova. I'll keep the bet but lower the amount.

I will put $5 on Pliskova. $35 on Cibulkova.

Thanks for noticing!!

 

[Bert]

Actually bert, I had the wrong Pliskova. I'll keep the bet but lower the amount.

I will put $5 on Pliskova. $35 on Cibulkova.

Thanks for noticing!!

They are twins Not easy to distinguish !!!

 

[Moxie]

I'll put $20 on Cibulkova, $15 on McHale and $5 on Knapp.

 

[Bert]

Today's results :

@britbox = +11.9 + 0.8 + 106.6 = 119.3 $ (4/4 so far)
@Moxie = +6.8 + 9.15 - 5 +100 = 110.95 $ (2/3)
@Bert = +3.05 + 1.85 + 103.46 = 108.36 $ (4/4)

Doing good guys !!!

 

[britbox]

I nearly stuck some on Genie but thought twice and decided not to... good job, as she's just capitulated in the first round.

 

[Bert]

I nearly stuck some on Genie but thought twice and decided not to... good job, as she's just capitulated in the first round.

Yes there are some players who are not good for bettor's nerves : Bouchard, Gulbis, Paire, Cornet...

 

[Bert]

Women draw - Day #3

Watson - Stephens should be interesting. Watson leads 4-2 against Stephens but lost their 2 more recent matches (French Open and Eastbourne 2015). Watson already played once in Miami, that's the first match for Stephens.
I will have an eye on Kasatkina-Halep too. Kasatkina is really impressive this season. I think Halep is stronger but I am curious to see how it goes.
I don't really understand why odds are so high for Bacsinszky against Gasparyan. Bacsinszky had a slow start in 2016 but showed really good things in Indian Wells.

But the most exciting from a betting point of view is Safarova-Wickmayer IMO. That's a good example of odds setting nightmare. Safarova is #15 and struggles with health problem since September 2015. This is only her third match in 2016 (2 losses). Wickmayer's season is not great but she had an easy win against Knapp in the 1st round and may have more energy and competition to win it.

I will bet 5$ on Wickmayer and 5$ on Bacsinszky.

 

[britbox]

$5 on Goerges. $30 on Radwanska.

 

[Moxie]

I'll put $20 on Radwanska. I'm sort of surprised how long McHale's odds are to beat Serena, because she is much improved. I don't want Serena to lose, but I'll put $2 on McHale, just in case Serena has another bad day.

 

[britbox]

I'll put $20 on Radwanska. I'm sort of surprised how long McHale's odds are to beat Serena, because she is much improved. I don't want Serena to lose, but I'll put $2 on McHale, just in case Serena has another bad day.

She certainly gave Serena a little bit of a fright.

 

[Moxie]

I don't mind losing the bet, but I was not wrong that she was undervalued in the odds. McHale is pretty scrappy. She has a good serve. And obviously, Serena wants to win Miami again, so she is feeling the pressure.

 

[Bert]

Today's results :

@britbox = +6.75 + 4.2 + 119.3 = 130.25 $ (6/6)
@Moxie = +2.8 -2 + 110.95 = 111.75 $ (3/5)
@Bert = +3.2 +3.5 + 108.36 = 115.06 $ (6/6)