How much Longer?

RJD11

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Serena Has said recently She might play another 10 years

Realistically how much longer can She play effectively?

Matt Wilansky of ESPN says:

Here's a fun fact: We have 23 jellylike disks in our spine, and as we age, degeneration kicks in and the bones in our vertebrae collapse. In other words, old people shrink.

Everyone, that is, except for Serena Williams. At the tender age of 32 years old, she continues to tower over the WTA Tour. With most of her contemporaries either quaffing coffee at the local donut joint or playing the local slot machines, she was busy making room in her already overcrowded lair for the latest trophy.

Williams could decide at any time she's has enough. But with 17 Grand Slam titles, just one behind the iconic duo of Martina Navratilova and Chris Evert, you have to think that her desire won't abate until she's safely secured a place in history she's comfortable with. Keep in mind, too, that the all-time record of 24 major victories is well within Williams' reach.

"I'm definitely gonna focus more, for sure, on the wins," Williams said. "Learn from my mistakes so I don't repeat them."

Because Serena is so motivated, because she has played a judicious schedule for much of her career and because reaching the pantheon's penthouse is a feasible quest, there is every reason to believe her when she says she could be playing until 40 years old.

Look, we can dissect Williams' rivals or make up some imaginary scenarios to try and figure out how much longer Williams will play and dominate, but I suspect the answer is a lot simpler than we think.

She'll be done when she wants to be done.


http://espn.go.com/tennis/story/_/id/9888861/tennis-fitting-end-great-year-serena-williams-wta-championships
 

Correspondent Kiu

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You know, a while ago when this site started and we needed to fill up the forum, I made a poll about this:
http://www.tennisfrontier.com/forum/showthread.php?tid=33

At the time we thought may be 2015-2016
I think that would be stretching it.
 

Sundaymorningguy

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I think in terms of potency for her career I would say she will be a sustainable threat through 2015 early 2016 if she remains healthy and commits to a sensible schedule. I think the bulk of her majors haul from this point on will come from the 2014-2016 seasons. She needs to buckle down and make the most of 2014 to try and get those majors. I do think she is good for at least 2-3 majors next year, but will be favored at all four majors. I mean I am sure she couldn't foresee winning 78-4 matches this year, but she has to give herself more margin between tournaments now that she is consistently making the finals. I would cut Charleston and definitely not play either Stanford or Bastad after Wimbledon. I would either play Cincy or Toronto, but not both unless she feels she needs the match play before the US Open. I think the fewer hard court matches she can play the easier it will be on her body for the long term.
 

RJD11

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Kiu said:
You know, a while ago when this site started and we needed to fill up the forum, I made a poll about this:
http://www.tennisfrontier.com/forum/showthread.php?tid=33

At the time we thought may be 2015-2016
I think that would be stretching it.

I predicted 2016 also......But now I'm not so sure.

I think it would depend on how many slams she has then
 

10isfan

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I think a host of players will retire after the Olympics, including Serena, Li, Pova, JJ. That time frame makes the most sense for those wanting one last chance to medal. However, it is impossible to predict. An unexpected injury can end a career overnight.
 

tossip

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Serena will ride this wave to the end...she seems very strong and with good health on her side she can play solid tennis for the next three years...I see her retiring after pova JJ Ana and Na li.
 

tossip

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Sundaymorningguy said:
I think in terms of potency for her career I would say she will be a sustainable threat through 2015 early 2016 if she remains healthy and commits to a sensible schedule. I think the bulk of her majors haul from this point on will come from the 2014-2016 seasons. She needs to buckle down and make the most of 2014 to try and get those majors. I do think she is good for at least 2-3 majors next year, but will be favored at all four majors. I mean I am sure she couldn't foresee winning 78-4 matches this year, but she has to give herself more margin between tournaments now that she is consistently making the finals. I would cut Charleston and definitely not play either Stanford or Bastad after Wimbledon. I would either play Cincy or Toronto, but not both unless she feels she needs the match play before the US Open. I think the fewer hard court matches she can play the easier it will be on her body for the long term.
I think playing and winning more has made her mentally stronger,she is more consistent and her game is very good now with very few errors.I am happy that she doesnt get injured often like she used to..she has been healthy all year long with the exception of AO13.
2014 I think will be just as good as 2013 just saw it in the teacup....she will reach 18 slams and more next year...mark that on your calenders folks.
 

ozza

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I think 2 more strong seasons for Serena, before things become much harder.

Predicting her retirement is a bit harder, but I don't think Serena will hang around for long once she starts to decline, so I would probably guess 2016.
 

tossip

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I think those naysayers should never predict anything about the sisters because most times they are wrong.
Serena said she will retire on a high note with no regrets...unlike players like Clijsters who seem not to make up their mind.I sEE A Clijsters comeback and all these Serena accolades are killing her inside..just saw it in my teacup.