Gambles... Hamburg, Newport, Bastad, Gstaad, Bucharest

Bert

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Today, I picked Novikov vs. Estrella at Newport.

Estrella's records on grass are not good at all, he played in Cali on clay between Wimbledon and Newport, not great for the preparation.
Novikov played Manchester challenger, Hertogenbosch, Ilkley challenger and Wimbledon (losing in 2R in 4sets).

They played twice last year on hard Estrella won both in 3 tight sets, but on grass, with the last weeks results, I go for Novikov @ 1.58.
 

britbox

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The funny thing is that Sela defeated Novikov on grass while Ram lost on Estrella on grass... looks like you took the opposite analysis of mine :)
Sometimes the odds are too tempting... I don't always think the guy will win, but worth a punt nevertheless. In this case, I think Ram will win a close match... but I'd call it a 55/45 match IMO and 1.9 odds are too tempting to pass up.