Gambles: Estoril, Istanbul, Munich, Rabat, Prague

[britbox]

Nice start to the week with Karen Khachanov edging out Aljaz Bedene at odds of 2.46. $5 returns $12.30.

 

[Bert]

Few interesting matches to bet on today :
Delbonis - Sela : Delbonis should win easy.
Verdasco - Carreno-Busta : the only question here is to know if Verdasco to ready to play 100% after his win in Bucharest. My opinion is that Carreno Busta struggles against lefties (4w/14l), he played Verdasco once and lost, he also has few losses against Delbonis for example. If Verdasco is fully commited, i think he will win.
Garcia-Lopez - Robert : GL should take it against the old Frenchman.
Tomic - Swartzman : will put a coin on Schwartzman. Tomic on clay is 16w/27l in career, this is his first round. Schwartzman won't be easy to beat.
Almagro - Sousa : not sure that they will play today, but Sousa has been playing so bad recently that I will put a coin on Almagro.

 

[britbox]

Have Thiem, Almagro, Verdasco, Veseley...

 

[Bert]

Verdasco is playing very bad... never seen so many UE. Just lost the first set 6/1

 

[britbox]

^Hangover from last few days... let's hope he snaps out of it.

 

[Bert]

All the signals were flashing : he won in Bucharest, the final was delayed on the Monday, he arrived late in Estoril, weather conditions are completely different... and I put a bet on it... shame on me

 

[Bert]

Interesting match in Munich today : Sijsling vs. Kovalic. They played against each other in qualifications, Sijling won, Kovalic got a LL ticket, and replaced a seed player. Sijsling won his first round, Kovalic will play his first match in the main draw.
Interesting to note that the odds in qualifications were : Sijsling 2.65 / Kovalic 1.43 and today Sijsling 2 / Kovalic 1.83. Don't understand why Kovalic is still given as the favourite.

Will you bet on this one @britbox ?

 

[britbox]

Bit late to the thread and the match is over. No I didn't bet on it and Kovalic won... so kind of glad I didn't... but I wouldn't have bet on it because I don't know either player. If I was watching it live, then maybe a "live play/in match bet" based on what I was seeing, but I wouldn't have bet cold without knowing them. Did you have a punt?

 

[Bert]

I stayed away from this one too. Have watched a bit and definitely not a game on which you want to put money

 

[Bert]

Interesting match today : Puig vs. Pironkova in Madrid qualifications. Puig had a tough match against Kuznetsova yesterday evening. Tight 3 sets, finish late. No much time to travel from Prague to Madrid and be used to Madrid conditions. Will be very different there : much warmer, quicker and balls will be lighter compared to wet Prague.
She plays today afternoon and even if Pironkova is not playing so great, I think it will be very tough for Puig to win. Odds are not available yet on Unibet but Pironkova's odds should be above 2.

 

[britbox]

I'm quite liking Falconi over Chirico in the Madrid Quals. Straight win bet @1.82. Falconi won Bogota recently and also won their only previous meeting, albeit on hard courts.

 

[britbox]

Delpo @ 2.66 and Vesely at 2.72 for a straight win look tempting.

 

[Bert]

I am on Unibet and they haven't put the Madrid matches in yet...

Agree for Falconi, looks tempting. I don't think Delpo will win, looks still a a bit too early for me, for Vesely, I agree that he can upset Dimitrov. If we go for surprises, Carreno-Busta @ 2.7 may be the one for me today : he played very well in the last two round and Simon has been a bit unconsistent recently.

I think I will go for an alternate bet on Karlovic - Granollers, on the number of games. Not many breaks to be expected.

 

[britbox]

Falconi got demolished 6/1 6/1 - took a bet out on that and lost. Not much but...

 

[Bert]

Put a small stake on Pironkova, would be my risky bet of the day. Comparing my stats on ATP and WTA, I think I will have to stick on ATP to optimise my profits

 

[britbox]

Put a small stake on Pironkova, would be my risky bet of the day. Comparing my stats on ATP and WTA, I think I will have to stick on ATP to optimise my profits

Agreed. The WTA is way too random!

 

[britbox]

Grand Slam of Losses yesterday - Vesely, Falconi, Delpo. Small bets as I thought the men were outsiders but none came in. $3 down for the week now.

 

[Bert]

Not a good day for me either. Hopefully today would be better

 

[britbox]

Could have been even worse - I nearly bet on Granollers too.

 

[Bert]

Kyrgios and Safarova for me today. Waiting for the odds in Madrid men qualifs, may go for Pouille and Mannarino if odds are good enough.